Bundesliga · resolved market
SV Werder Bremen vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b2e8f7fa316b7c0ccdae9abbe96220d0e7a8b99a51e8e55f1d52cc2713b99b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 8,476$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,640.03 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 2,460$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 1,433$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.56 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…057dbacked Under | 4c | 1,200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 27c | 1,051$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.03 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 63c | 631.75$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.43 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 60c | 430$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 38c | 368.82$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.18 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 59c | 339.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.15 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 21c | 285.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 44c | 270.45$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.45 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 58c | 246.85$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.84 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 35c | 240$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.78 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c2…c126backed Over | 32c | 203.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 33c | 181.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.97 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 137.01$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 130 | 73.1%95 W · 35 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 36c | 105$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Over | 54c | 104.67$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 48c | 103.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 46c | 100.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 59c | 84.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a4…1d88backed Over | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 27c | 75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 72.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Under | 73c | 70$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 36c | 63.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 42c | 60.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Over | 48c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 65 | 83.1%54 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Over | 43c | 49.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over | 44c | 45.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 40c | 45.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 36c | 31.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ab…7555backed Over | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 49c | 22.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 107 | 71%76 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x015c…0477backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 80c | 13.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SV Werder Bremen vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5this page
- SV Werder Bremen vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Under won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5Under won
- SV Werder Bremen vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.