NBA · resolved market

Spread: Heat (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60b8cb6798ad575ae5bbc90cda8c194d91c5e2eb12b8a92f8935825cd8eaebc3

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bucksof Heat, Bucks
Resolved: Feb 25, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $623,681
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $623,938

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $623,681 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Heat	50c	411,197$204,843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204,843.01	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Bucks	50c	150,000$75,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75,000	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Bucks	50c	139,036$69,518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69,517.77	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Bucks	52c	111,110$57,333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53,777.22	478	48.1%230 W · 248 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Bucks	50c	60,778$30,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,089.22	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Heat	50c	36,375$18,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,092.25	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Bucks	50c	31,250$15,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,625	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Heat	49c	29,458$14,519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,518.56	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Heat	50c	22,966$11,582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,581.75	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Heat	48c	20,833$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks	50c	14,661$7,345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,316.34	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Heat	48c	13,803$6,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,625.34	175	50.9%89 W · 86 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf488…a534backed Heat	48c	12,708$6,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,100	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks	50c	9,761$4,885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,876.26	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Bucks	50c	9,584$4,792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,792.18	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks	51c	9,517$4,859 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,657.54	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d6…b04bbacked Bucks	52c	8,462$4,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,062.13	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+4.2wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks	51c	7,865$3,972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,893.37	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Heat	48c	5,417$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Bucks	51c	4,237$2,161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,076.02	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Heat	49c	4,082$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	112	49.1%55 W · 57 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Heat	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Bucks	50c	3,333$1,667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,666.5	147	53.1%78 W · 69 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Bucks	50c	3,200$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,600	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Heat	48c	2,750$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Heat	49c	2,408$1,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,180	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks	51c	2,167$1,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,068.17	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks	54c	2,152$1,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980.39	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Heat	46c	1,846$849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$848.96	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Bucks	51c	1,500$765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$734.99	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Bucks	52c	1,100$572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528	143	58.7%84 W · 59 L	+12.9wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Heat	49c	1,020$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Bucks	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	291	49.5%144 W · 147 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Bucks	51c	999.98$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.99	261	49.4%129 W · 132 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Heat	49c	892.5$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.37	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Bucks	53c	801.89$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376.89	672	52.7%354 W · 318 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaccb…61dcbacked Heat	48c	777.99$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.44	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+5.1wins	+0.16per pick	55cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Heat	49c	653$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.97	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Heat	49c	552.34$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.65	313	54.3%170 W · 143 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Heat	48c	494.89$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.55	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks	50c	452.1$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.07	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Heat	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4113…e904backed Heat	52c	384.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks	48c	375.18$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.09	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Heat	49c	239.71$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.46	203	52.2%106 W · 97 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Heat	48c	211.32$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.48	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Heat	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	282	45.4%128 W · 154 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Heat	48c	191.23$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.79	522	46.6%243 W · 279 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Bucks	51c	187.31$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.78	301	51.8%156 W · 145 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Heat	49c	183.67$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Bucks	55c	181.13$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.13	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Bucks	52c	150$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.59	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Bucks	52c	142.66$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.48	210	45.2%95 W · 115 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Heat	51c	138$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.38	141	44.7%63 W · 78 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Bucks	52c	134.62$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.62	89	42.7%38 W · 51 L	-8.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Heat	46c	132$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.28	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Bucks	65c	118.65$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.11	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Bucks	51c	108.12$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.86	256	55.5%142 W · 114 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Heat	48c	104.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Bucks	52c	98$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.53	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1c…0be3backed Bucks	51c	96.08$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.08	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.13per pick	54cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Bucks	50c	96$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc345…2c35backed Heat	50c	96$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	108	56.5%61 W · 47 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Bucks	50c	79.61$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.81	484	51.2%248 W · 236 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Bucks	53c	75.47$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.47	206	50%103 W · 103 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Bucks	51c	71.71$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.14	877	44.7%392 W · 485 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Bucks	53c	65.79$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.96	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Heat	49c	58.96$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.89	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Bucks	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	378	52.9%200 W · 178 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…7af9backed Heat	48c	55.21$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Heat	46c	54.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.71	454	45.4%206 W · 248 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6931…89cabacked Heat	45c	52.78$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.75	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Bucks	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.1	145	57.9%84 W · 61 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0609…b093backed Bucks	54c	49.96$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.98	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Bucks	49c	44$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.44	88	26.1%23 W · 65 L	-12.5wins	-0.14per pick	40cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Bucks	51c	43.59$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.36	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Heat	48c	41.34$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.84	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd9…aea9backed Heat	50c	40.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	101	56.4%57 W · 44 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8318…8b62backed Bucks	52c	40$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.2	10	50%5 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x557d…4ffebacked Heat	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d1…5557backed Bucks	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+3.0wins	+0.12per pick	60cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce40…f775backed Bucks	53c	38.11$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.91	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Bucks	50c	35.04$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.52	378	45%170 W · 208 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc3…1e73backed Bucks	51c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Heat	34c	30$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	244	9.4%23 W · 221 L	-27.5wins	-0.11per pick	21cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Heat	49c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	952	60.2%573 W · 379 L	+37.0wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked Heat	50c	27.8$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.9	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Bucks	50c	27.39$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.7	141	51.8%73 W · 68 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f1…196ebacked Heat	49c	26.94$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	165	43.6%72 W · 93 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Bucks	51c	23.53$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.53	243	58%141 W · 102 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed95…889cbacked Heat	48c	22.97$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.03	197	50.3%99 W · 98 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Heat	49c	22.43$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.08	307	43%132 W · 175 L	-19.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-19%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Bucks	49c	21.39$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.92	194	35.1%68 W · 126 L	-13.2wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Bucks	52c	20.6$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.85	180	60.6%109 W · 71 L	+11.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Heat	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	879	50.6%445 W · 434 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Bucks	55c	19.43$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.74	100	28%28 W · 72 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Heat (-6.5)this page
1H Spread: Heat (-2.5)Bucks won
Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Cam Thomas: Points O/U 15.5No won
Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Heat vs. BucksBucks won
Heat vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
Heat vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Over won
Heat vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Over won
Heat vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5Over won
Heat vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Over won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 11.5No won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5No won
Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Myles Turner: Points O/U 11.5No won
Norman Powell: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Spread: Heat (-5.5)Bucks won
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 16.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Heat (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event