TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,699
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,069

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,699 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e15…7531backed Yes37c4,090$1,498 inWon+$2,592.322343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No49c3,589$1,760 inLost-$1,760.091,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9719…6ffabacked No64c3,102$2,001 inLost-$2,000.676669.7%46 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Yes28c705.38$197 inWon+$508.4817151.5%88 W · 83 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bfa…bc94backed No72c662.13$476 inLost-$476.136953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked Yes35c539$189 inWon+$350.3527059.6%161 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No60c387.15$234 inLost-$233.524,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…9723backed Yes35c335.29$118 inWon+$217.5226069.2%180 W · 80 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No55c270.94$149 inLost-$148.7583158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0606…1d57backed Yes38c237.14$90 inWon+$146.655837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No61c208.4$127 inLost-$127.1290863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yes51c184.57$94 inWon+$90.315,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd84b…67bebacked Yes34c144.12$49 inWon+$95.121050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa7…eb68backed No72c139.5$100 inLost-$1008145.7%37 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No60c125$75 inLost-$751,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6e8…ed04backed Yes40c125$50 inWon+$756342.9%27 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Yes36c100$36 inWon+$6413151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No30c98.14$29 inLost-$29.441,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed No62c50$31 inLost-$3138048.7%185 W · 195 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed No65c40$26 inLost-$2660267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes57c34$19 inWon+$14.6221937%81 W · 138 L-15.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc260…68dfbacked No65c30$20 inLost-$19.51070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No60c16.67$10 inLost-$1097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.