Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb043c344e01d90e74db45988d04a8a2b2c219ee0cd62617d43a919cad6d8b2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0609…b093backed No | 1c | 2,993$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 1,444$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.46 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 4c | 1,249$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 51c | 899$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 35c | 553.14$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.95 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Yes | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 65c | 427.28$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.94 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 30c | 355.3$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.19 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 61c | 317.56$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.85 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 64c | 312.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.81 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Yes | 62c | 299.96$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.98 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 48c | 284.89$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.63 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 58c | 282.76$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.76 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 280.92$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 52c | 248.23$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.92 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 38c | 216$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 64c | 186.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 58c | 172.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 80c | 108$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 41 | 87.8%36 W · 5 L | +9.1wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 38c | 108$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 61c | 100.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…6a00backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…4bfabacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 35c | 72.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 65c | 61.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 130 | 73.1%95 W · 35 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399b…d03bbacked No | 37c | 49.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 43c | 47.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 63c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 30 | 93.3%28 W · 2 L | +7.8wins | +0.26per pick | 67cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Yes | 64c | 38.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…bc89backed Yes | 63c | 38.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e3…0ca1backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 63c | 29.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 61c | 17.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2d…3c19backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…db17backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…b725backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.