Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32c8cb593d3eedd516c6b4768aa0a7479baad3efb9d33eb861d064927871695d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 2,817$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.87 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 1,403$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.28 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over | 62c | 1,300$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.05 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 43c | 1,171$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.51 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 35c | 800$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Over | 39c | 700$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 58c | 652.61$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.75 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 19c | 586$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.34 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 67c | 502.98$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.05 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 31c | 290.48$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 69c | 218.61$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 58c | 197.48$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.54 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 60c | 192.12$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.31 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Over | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 142.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +10.9wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 76c | 120.72$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Over | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99df…b59abacked Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Over | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 21c | 99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Over | 41c | 80.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Under | 68c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 76.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over | 38c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 53c | 65.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 60c | 62.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 54c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 39c | 51.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 74c | 43.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…1e04backed Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60a4…1d88backed Over | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 46c | 30.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…6695backed Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b02…ae87backed Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 53c | 20.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…68a8backed Over | 80c | 20.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0247…bb07backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 62c | 16.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5this page
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.