Premier League · resolved market
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x103c1d20d203e7c63e5737345c11d491b14ad34527f1fec6353bebb21975c321
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 5,811$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852.94 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 29c | 5,193$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,693.4 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 70c | 1,150$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 47c | 1,074$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.53 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 58c | 955.17$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.32 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 478.55$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.87 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 28c | 359.88$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.01 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 50c | 302.4$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.86 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 288.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.42 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 79c | 201.3$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.39 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 21c | 180$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.2 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 72c | 177$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 22c | 126$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…31dcbacked Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 109.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.09 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 22c | 100.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fea…9bdbbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 96.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 91.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…da0dbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed92…fbf2backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 79c | 90$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 34c | 88.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…b093backed Yes | 49c | 81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 40c | 75.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…d067backed Yes | 37c | 72.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Yes | 28c | 71.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 44c | 49.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 24c | 47.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 27c | 47.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.43 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Yes | 22c | 45.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 30c | 44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 38.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 72c | 36.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 58c | 35.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed No | 34c | 31.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 78c | 30.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…f81bbacked No | 73c | 26.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 23.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed No | 79c | 16.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-24?No won
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-02-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.