South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Huachipato vs. Carabobo FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x908e56dc3f5779cb782d83f03c72d6dcaf7927e4d903ee3ba41b573e81d7c65e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x837c…5771backed Yes | 33c | 3,173$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,881$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.67 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 669.81$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.74 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 587.01$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.17 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 546.07$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.96 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 430.06$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.21 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 68c | 285.9$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked No | 71c | 201.04$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…ba8ebacked Yes | 29c | 125.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 79c | 110.78$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 74c | 85.83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 14c | 81.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…b093backed Yes | 49c | 75.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 27c | 74.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 74c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 26c | 59.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05c…aa9bbacked No | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 26c | 38.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 37.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 32.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 51c | 20.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 75c | 19.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc00…fb0cbacked No | 77c | 19.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 75c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Huachipato vs. Carabobo FC end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-02-24?No won
- Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-02-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.