South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-02-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdd78e229fa09d239268f3924df1604fd3e5fbd473b2bd9b23b6f3a80bff949b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 19c | 3,425$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.46 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 17c | 1,557$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.36 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,125$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 66c | 765.31$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.25 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed No | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 18c | 558.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.33 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 522.78$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 15c | 354.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.88 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 44c | 267.19$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 220.16$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.26 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Yes | 16c | 175.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.36 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +121%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0809…b2f4backed Yes | 76c | 145.48$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 18c | 119.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.65 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 16c | 105$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 14c | 100.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…5ad2backed Yes | 55c | 92.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Yes | 16c | 92.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +78%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 17c | 84.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…eb5cbacked Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 36c | 79.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 16c | 72.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Yes | 16c | 64.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…aa58backed Yes | 77c | 59.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 65c | 54.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1070…5278backed Yes | 38c | 52.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 78c | 46.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 53c | 41.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…31cebacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-02-24?this page
- Will CD Huachipato vs. Carabobo FC end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-02-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.