Space · resolved market
Will Elon be worth $500b before March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b5291e1875f850ac01ec3f28cd882ae0b3abba6e7f7c2319a437e956021424c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Spaceevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Space is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Space | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabe9…09b5backed Yes | 4c | 7,965$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 67c | 7,012$4,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…adefbacked Yes | 11c | 5,253$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed Yes | 11c | 4,867$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…4faebacked Yes | 24c | 4,461$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…c6c4backed No | 69c | 1,730$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 17c | 1,716$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…2acbbacked Yes | 17c | 1,457$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 30c | 1,374$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 31c | 1,262$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.79 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 38c | 1,225$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x346c…a160backed No | 69c | 1,140$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b4…7d8fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,094$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 74c | 1,078$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed No | 75c | 1,012$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea0…27f4backed Yes | 1c | 950.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 77c | 931.93$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 23c | 756.05$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 27c | 604.4$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed Yes | 24c | 573.35$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44a…a403backed Yes | 31c | 514.41$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…48c8backed Yes | 21c | 505.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 10c | 469.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…bfacbacked Yes | 44c | 457.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…32f6backed Yes | 26c | 437.05$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 16c | 412.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3970…c828backed Yes | 23c | 407.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6476…0a70backed Yes | 26c | 370.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked No | 70c | 357$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Yes | 34c | 349.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…879ebacked Yes | 3c | 348$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 3c | 341.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7e…4a5bbacked Yes | 30c | 333.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…4ddfbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13cf…788dbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…b093backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 5c | 233.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ad…f321backed Yes | 15c | 222.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a7…f445backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…01adbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…b59bbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…f6b6backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb21…51bebacked Yes | 25c | 193.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…b444backed Yes | 24c | 191.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…a12abacked Yes | 21c | 160$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 22c | 157.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde02…b7a6backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed Yes | 46c | 130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 15c | 124.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 25c | 113.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 25c | 113.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da6…388fbacked Yes | 14c | 100.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 35c | 100.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ec…57d5backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…b571backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89b…7945backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e94…7670backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…d0babacked No | 78c | 97.85$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 39c | 96.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 30c | 95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51a4…dd44backed No | 79c | 93.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a9…0729backed No | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 74c | 74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…6460backed Yes | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb6…e8f0backed No | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…4dccbacked No | 77c | 68.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86eb…1725backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 78c | 61.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…2a81backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc3…aca4backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…5987backed No | 57c | 54.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 63c | 52.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…3636backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.24per pick | 29cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a94…04afbacked No | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 70c | 48.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86f…aa00backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe82…7797backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…79e8backed Yes | 29c | 38.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…1dd2backed No | 69c | 36.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8744…867bbacked No | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…cb07backed No | 65c | 32.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0540…f24abacked No | 63c | 30.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x560b…d761backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cec…dc3ebacked No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f8…0e46backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…0061backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536c…7c84backed Yes | 46c | 23.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…b402backed No | 59c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Space and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.