TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e94…7670

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 54 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$127.1
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.71
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.43
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.51
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$196.29
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$141.79
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$36.99
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Another Iran strike on Israel in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$66
Israel military response against Iran in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+77.8%+$325.99
Israel military response against Iran by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,186Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT+30%+$355.46
Iran military response before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+37%+$27
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-57.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.11
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.45
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$352.17
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.62
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$123.19
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$15.68
Maduro out in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon be worth $500b before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+40.8%+$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$48.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.