Middle East · resolved market
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa631b8c0a69210de06c6766480a5fde9aa49a68683808cafabb111a8b17ec3cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 76c | 21,347$16,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,143.46 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 33c | 10,152$3,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,362.36 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -9.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 2c | 5,533$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.11 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 10c | 4,962$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.95 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 50c | 4,176$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.91 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 51c | 3,795$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.87 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 52c | 3,685$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.23 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 35c | 3,220$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 4c | 2,895$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.25 | 58 | 1.7%1 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 71c | 2,701$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.43 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb566…978ebacked Yes | 39c | 2,597$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb04…1a5ebacked No | 52c | 2,349$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf9…1289backed Yes | 41c | 2,225$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.14 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 48c | 2,154$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.91 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…c471backed No | 70c | 2,126$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…3ef8backed Yes | 33c | 2,095$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf111…6be4backed No | 67c | 2,053$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked No | 54c | 2,050$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 47c | 2,036$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.55 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 43c | 2,000$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.83 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ce…5472backed Yes | 53c | 1,891$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked No | 57c | 1,764$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.27 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,729$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…b491backed No | 59c | 1,691$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.84 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…19bcbacked No | 48c | 1,675$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 37c | 1,362$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.04 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 51c | 1,294$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.23 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -7.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Yes | 40c | 1,208$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.13 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca4…1bb0backed No | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…fee7backed Yes | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc98…a38cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf78…e99bbacked No | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 64c | 1,166$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.58 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…189abacked Yes | 28c | 1,163$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.82 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7892…a570backed Yes | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f6…d327backed Yes | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…cb00backed No | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…75ebbacked No | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…5b87backed Yes | 53c | 1,042$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.83 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed Yes | 40c | 1,005$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.1 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed No | 47c | 952.29$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.17 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…f6e5backed Yes | 53c | 945.38$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0d…da48backed No | 69c | 939.61$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.82 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 7c | 929$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 7c | 860.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.03 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…fec9backed Yes | 7c | 859.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…0caabacked No | 48c | 845.11$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed No | 74c | 836.77$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…f1f0backed Yes | 74c | 807.08$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…32d8backed No | 65c | 802.17$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.68 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 58c | 799.63$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.18 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…03f4backed Yes | 13c | 779.11$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 21c | 778.26$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 37c | 750$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…4a09backed Yes | 15c | 734.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 31c | 720.98$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.73 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a43…f2f6backed Yes | 36c | 715$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked No | 74c | 675.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 3c | 665.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 72c | 625$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec1b…c92fbacked No | 49c | 608$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6255…a005backed Yes | 50c | 603.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed No | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 37c | 591.39$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.56 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…3d36backed Yes | 25c | 573.38$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.16 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d2…f302backed Yes | 35c | 570$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…3636backed No | 51c | 546.73$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.57 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 45c | 540$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 67c | 509.78$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.88 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46c7…c0f2backed No | 49c | 504.35$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4a…cacabacked No | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 25c | 500$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…533bbacked Yes | 20c | 488.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c4…43e8backed Yes | 5c | 475.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +434.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…005dbacked Yes | 44c | 469.47$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.3 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 42c | 464.38$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3eb…0829backed No | 66c | 454.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.74 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…d170backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 11c | 450.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 36c | 440.46$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.66 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…1aa4backed Yes | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…1d6ebacked Yes | 11c | 372.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a6…0d07backed Yes | 40c | 367.9$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5246…32a6backed No | 49c | 366.77$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 28c | 350.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed No | 66c | 350$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…5b2cbacked Yes | 57c | 347.85$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d82…a1eebacked Yes | 29c | 346.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…a190backed Yes | 38c | 346.18$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 36c | 344.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.52 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067a…cee0backed No | 47c | 335.93$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff82…19c0backed Yes | 3c | 330.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 25c | 330.23$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d5…fbe0backed Yes | 15c | 328.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 9c | 309.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 261 | 38.7%101 W · 160 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 65c | 308.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.47 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 54c | 306.49$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes | 4c | 286$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbabe…ee53backed Yes | 7c | 272.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.