World Politics · resolved market
Maduro out in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e12293226f977844cdbb110fa5a746cc2f18b61aeb4a9835973f4c6f8166d26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb4f…0d86backed Yes | 18c | 16,893$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed Yes | 37c | 7,683$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951d…22a4backed Yes | 9c | 6,520$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…f4b1backed Yes | 22c | 6,029$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +196.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes | 17c | 5,595$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 79c | 5,565$4,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.4 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…221dbacked No | 71c | 4,496$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fb…ef0abacked Yes | 11c | 3,187$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7108…7492backed No | 71c | 2,674$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 78c | 2,601$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.71 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed No | 65c | 2,524$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.67 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2743…85edbacked Yes | 6c | 2,323$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081d…8c34backed No | 70c | 2,084$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 75c | 2,034$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.51 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…52ccbacked No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,999$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.77 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 16c | 1,910$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.51 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 67c | 1,879$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 77c | 1,840$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.39 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4d…a7cebacked Yes | 6c | 1,816$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…8155backed Yes | 22c | 1,804$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 2c | 1,586$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…e2d3backed No | 65c | 1,520$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2855…afffbacked No | 68c | 1,483$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yes | 23c | 1,438$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.74 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…005dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,408$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 52c | 1,300$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 1,170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c2…cd0bbacked Yes | 23c | 1,124$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be2…e7a0backed No | 78c | 1,013$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d2…9eb7backed No | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 79c | 942.53$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed No | 72c | 928.22$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.37 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed No | 67c | 915.22$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 59c | 900$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d72…cca4backed No | 76c | 862.8$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ba…9e00backed No | 75c | 860.96$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1aa…6816backed Yes | 6c | 786.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c31…ea4bbacked Yes | 18c | 720.43$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +165.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…567ebacked Yes | 5c | 689.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…8c31backed No | 74c | 658.15$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 33c | 599.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x831e…8db9backed Yes | 13c | 538.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked No | 73c | 532.41$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…9406backed Yes | 5c | 526.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +209%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…f1fabacked No | 50c | 499.66$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91a1…5d25backed Yes | 23c | 480$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…123ebacked Yes | 27c | 474.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 34c | 438.06$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +70%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…93a2backed Yes | 11c | 437.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Yes | 35c | 436.07$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.62 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…68ddbacked Yes | 34c | 399.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…2b73backed Yes | 26c | 367.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628c…83d1backed Yes | 26c | 355.69$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1a…d6aebacked Yes | 26c | 346.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd1…ee93backed No | 66c | 317.78$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c4…6b1abacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc154…4101backed Yes | 36c | 305.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 79c | 260.25$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Yes | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…b473backed Yes | 43c | 234.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a7…4cb6backed Yes | 27c | 234.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae65…d7cdbacked Yes | 26c | 216.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…770dbacked No | 66c | 205.93$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed No | 65c | 202.72$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.95 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c2…f6fbbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 78c | 200$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…d7ecbacked No | 67c | 175.65$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8860…8203backed No | 77c | 170.25$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…c868backed Yes | 22c | 136.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b6…2a9ebacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…43dcbacked No | 71c | 127.49$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ab…fe22backed Yes | 37c | 127.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9a…c3f4backed Yes | 12c | 124.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…b942backed Yes | 33c | 104$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…f086backed No | 66c | 101.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc395…5c8cbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…3e47backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…71edbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…de46backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e94…7670backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked No | 68c | 93.89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd258…f3d2backed Yes | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b93…843abacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e3…b7eabacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 29c | 84.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…97cdbacked Yes | 14c | 77.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d01…6ef4backed Yes | 27c | 70.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…f4abbacked Yes | 23c | 69.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c2…e3eebacked No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…555cbacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538d…7a13backed Yes | 22c | 61.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8b…0159backed No | 76c | 59.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a0…73f3backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…f3edbacked Yes | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.