NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80a51e01e5c77906cf3e2abd99d7e161b789d9ce44d7b440f222de3d432a6b2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Red Wings, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Red Wings | 25c | 10,849$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.25 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Flyers | 58c | 8,965$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,765.3 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Wings | 23c | 6,067$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.2 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…ba27backed Red Wings | 25c | 4,905$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.37 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Flyers | 75c | 3,125$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.71 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Flyers | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.97 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Flyers | 62c | 1,604$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.85 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Red Wings | 40c | 1,528$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.32 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Red Wings | 38c | 1,307$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.02 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Flyers | 63c | 1,142$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.96 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Red Wings | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Flyers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedac…e765backed Red Wings | 43c | 940.02$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Flyers | 58c | 701.97$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.83 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings | 40c | 611.93$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.97 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Flyers | 56c | 591.96$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Red Wings | 43c | 580.02$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.41 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Red Wings | 53c | 529.14$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Flyers | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…28f4backed Red Wings | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Red Wings | 40c | 485.66$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.09 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Flyers | 56c | 481.62$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.91 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Red Wings | 44c | 450$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Red Wings | 42c | 444.81$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.14 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers | 54c | 424.26$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.16 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdede…149ebacked Flyers | 60c | 420$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…6d87backed Flyers | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Red Wings | 47c | 353.59$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.22 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…d93bbacked Flyers | 57c | 350$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Flyers | 58c | 346.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.31 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 49c | 333.7$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.36 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Red Wings | 40c | 325$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…4c35backed Red Wings | 44c | 308.33$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…16b4backed Flyers | 66c | 257$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…f19ebacked Flyers | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Flyers | 57c | 250$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…aa79backed Red Wings | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -8.5wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2821…72d6backed Flyers | 55c | 240$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…7240backed Red Wings | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…9b61backed Red Wings | 44c | 227.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Flyers | 52c | 222$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Red Wings | 40c | 212.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4225…8476backed Flyers | 58c | 209.07$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9011…311cbacked Flyers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ed…ca2bbacked Red Wings | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcb…c6dbbacked Flyers | 56c | 179.7$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…16bfbacked Red Wings | 41c | 175.74$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Red Wings | 42c | 169.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc573…e1d4backed Red Wings | 44c | 165.91$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd327…c74bbacked Red Wings | 44c | 157.37$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…b190backed Red Wings | 44c | 155.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e2…6c2ebacked Red Wings | 44c | 153$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…9d0cbacked Red Wings | 44c | 151.68$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…aedebacked Red Wings | 40c | 151.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…5849backed Flyers | 61c | 150.82$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Flyers | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…98fabacked Flyers | 61c | 146.56$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Red Wings | 44c | 146.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…d57bbacked Red Wings | 40c | 139.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Red Wings | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…bf79backed Flyers | 57c | 122.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…8973backed Red Wings | 40c | 122.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a2…e03fbacked Red Wings | 44c | 121.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa15a…58fcbacked Flyers | 57c | 120.21$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa92e…bcc3backed Red Wings | 44c | 118.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf789…7702backed Flyers | 57c | 118.23$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…ae8ebacked Red Wings | 44c | 118.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…02fcbacked Flyers | 57c | 116.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80e4…9f33backed Red Wings | 44c | 112.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1529…a7babacked Red Wings | 40c | 110.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a4…23bebacked Flyers | 57c | 109.79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…0aeebacked Flyers | 60c | 108.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac8…989dbacked Flyers | 57c | 106.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…b01abacked Flyers | 57c | 106.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824e…a9b6backed Flyers | 57c | 105.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3152…0f1bbacked Red Wings | 44c | 102.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de3…050bbacked Red Wings | 44c | 100.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Red Wings | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…7f95backed Red Wings | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…11dfbacked Flyers | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Flyers | 61c | 99.96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb278…d6a7backed Red Wings | 42c | 99.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe834…e559backed Red Wings | 44c | 99.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Flyers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7262…6c5cbacked Red Wings | 44c | 93.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7806…a13ebacked Flyers | 57c | 92.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…e190backed Flyers | 57c | 91.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…22d7backed Flyers | 57c | 91.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…0656backed Flyers | 57c | 89.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…4e4fbacked Flyers | 57c | 86.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b30…6a04backed Flyers | 57c | 85.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…a8edbacked Flyers | 57c | 85.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94c3…4bf8backed Flyers | 57c | 84.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…40c1backed Flyers | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x771b…b30bbacked Red Wings | 44c | 81.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…255dbacked Flyers | 57c | 81.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f6…6a21backed Red Wings | 44c | 80.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x794e…9f51backed Red Wings | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8153…7eb3backed Red Wings | 44c | 78.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…de92backed Flyers | 57c | 77.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.