Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-02-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf58e2b9a927bd8e8c84031dfca4e65d86e948a65befedb045a8e62a34a145ebd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68c9…b988backed No | 65c | 10,507$6,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,881.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 6,147$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.51 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 4,085$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.88 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 35c | 3,132$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.84 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 2,296$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.01 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 33c | 2,253$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.4 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 74c | 2,151$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.26 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…0530backed No | 63c | 1,754$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…4193backed Yes | 37c | 1,752$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…8b58backed Yes | 38c | 1,284$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 75c | 1,109$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.35 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 23c | 873.35$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.53 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 39c | 496.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.84 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 62c | 487.35$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.43 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 40c | 477.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.67 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 38c | 413.85$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.97 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 80c | 376.01$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.01 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…4f5abacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 59c | 261$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.22 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 206.71$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.15 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 40c | 187$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 36c | 157.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 39c | 129.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 74c | 111.18$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 39c | 109$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Yes | 75c | 106.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 60c | 84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 45c | 83.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 77c | 83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Yes | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Yes | 50c | 79.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Yes | 34c | 73.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed No | 61c | 73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 70.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9a…336bbacked Yes | 38c | 65.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a938backed Yes | 40c | 60.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed No | 45c | 55.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…bfebbacked Yes | 72c | 54.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked No | 63c | 51.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 73c | 46.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc850…95bfbacked No | 63c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed Yes | 36c | 41.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 53c | 41.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Yes | 75c | 38.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…aedebacked Yes | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…a5dbbacked No | 63c | 35.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +44%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 62c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ff…c130backed Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed No | 63c | 20.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-02-03?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-02-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.