Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f59a214881ae72d04a7795f6769c964c2a26931de86f3e8dadd3fd1d02ac5d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 4,446$3,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.68 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 31c | 2,584$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.74 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked No | 58c | 2,290$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.98 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 2,151$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.61 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,604$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.96 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 78c | 1,079$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.29 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 555.9$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.21 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 425.8$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.22 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…bc59backed Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 28c | 358$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 58c | 344.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.91 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 254.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 46c | 230.43$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.83 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 36c | 191.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked No | 55c | 174.85$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 171.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 72c | 160.85$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 145.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 144.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.86 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 69c | 139$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked No | 78c | 107.71$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 73c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed No | 64c | 64.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 74c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 34c | 62.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked No | 65c | 58.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed No | 74c | 47.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed No | 79c | 38.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 25.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed No | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…e5bfbacked No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-02-03?Yes won
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-02-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.