Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-02-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e85dac22684c1803747b473ad7382f820d6174cc1caee7189fcfa5f56d1387b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 3,800$2,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.69 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 34c | 3,777$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.28 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 3,701$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.69 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.99 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,810$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 35c | 1,705$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.58 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 66c | 1,667$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 30c | 1,467$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.58 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 66c | 1,351$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.05 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 30c | 1,159$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.16 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 29c | 778.27$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.1 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 65c | 727.6$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.92 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 606.45$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.75 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…bc59backed Yes | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes | 35c | 570$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 25c | 420$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 65c | 410.03$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.51 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 287 | 32.8%94 W · 193 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes | 28c | 230.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 33c | 222.73$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 37c | 220.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 211.37$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 195.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 178.3$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 148.3$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Yes | 34c | 148$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 29c | 138.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 34c | 136.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 17c | 133.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 32c | 127$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 35c | 102.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed No | 73c | 101$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 75c | 86.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 25c | 83.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…ec8ebacked Yes | 36c | 78.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 32c | 77.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 25c | 77.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 66c | 61.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 70c | 55.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 28c | 48.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Yes | 33c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 65c | 45.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 64c | 38.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 35.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 32.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed No | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 73c | 19.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 66c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked No | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-02-03?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-02-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.