TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Bulls, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$219,677
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,677 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb00f…db97backed Hornets26c63,764$16,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,654.94533.3%15 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls75c32,087$23,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,127.313,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Bulls79c15,293$12,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,146.7428341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Hornets20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9929738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…128ebacked Bulls75c9,160$6,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2901145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets21c7,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5751,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Hornets2c7,222$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.1318518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Bulls71c6,900$4,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00148046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Hornets21c6,510$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.5512938%49 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hornets20c6,083$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.6696447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Hornets0c5,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.753350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Hornets2c4,800$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.538783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1872…ae0fbacked Bulls79c4,090$3,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.46758.2%39 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Bulls78c3,459$2,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.0173647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Hornets17c3,411$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.5626431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Hornets21c2,653$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.6161345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets21c2,409$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.4277745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68f7…5e86backed Hornets6c2,316$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets20c2,199$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.441,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hornets12c2,186$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.945,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Hornets21c2,144$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.7237734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Hornets5c2,102$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1543653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Hornets12c2,100$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.041,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda87…4e9bbacked Hornets21c2,007$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.52015%3 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Bulls80c2,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Hornets1c1,922$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.745502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Bulls80c1,875$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37529643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hornets22c1,863$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.711,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Bulls79c1,811$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.3725865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Hornets14c1,707$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.9670640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…56d0backed Hornets22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302060%12 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Bulls77c1,449$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.2220047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e26…1715backed Bulls78c1,427$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.931637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Hornets21c1,370$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.762351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Bulls73c1,350$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.520050.5%101 W · 99 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f95…9bd4backed Hornets4c1,303$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bulls80c1,246$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.257760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Hornets22c1,136$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Bulls78c1,013$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.431,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Bulls78c899.09$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.099442.6%40 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Bulls80c875$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17534747%163 W · 184 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0d…0ed4backed Bulls79c760.95$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.951963.2%12 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Bulls73c760.52$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2830061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Hornets3c745.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.287502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Hornets4c684.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2737627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd323…9e96backed Bulls75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.671050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c4…a40abacked Bulls79c650.02$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.584548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Hornets8c628$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Bulls79c576.17$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1218827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Hornets27c558.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011229.5%33 W · 79 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Bulls67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1656454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Hornets6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011019.1%21 W · 89 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Bulls79c499.99$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Bulls74c499.59$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.378445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hornets21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Hornets20c467$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.410428.8%30 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hornets19c459.79$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3673051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Hornets20c439.37$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8733348.9%163 W · 170 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Bulls79c436.05$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5725536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Hornets21c422.45$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4936434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca34…8cb1backed Hornets24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011140.5%45 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Hornets16c415.54$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8247229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Hornets22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8872341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Bulls80c322.75$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5519452.1%101 W · 93 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd043…ee49backed Bulls79c322.33$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77e2…55f1backed Hornets22c318.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Hornets9c314.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.441434.9%7 W · 136 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Hornets24c310$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.185347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hornets21c308.54$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.682,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Bulls78c299.99$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6650453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Hornets24c298$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5240448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd361…3885backed Hornets34c297.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8896…7d78backed Bulls76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.162653.8%14 W · 12 L-4.7wins-0.18per pick72cpaid-24.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Hornets21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Bulls73c232.6$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8336751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b92…046ebacked Bulls78c229.49$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4916140.4%65 W · 96 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe02e…88d5backed Bulls79c217.8$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.749453.2%50 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Bulls79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4230243.7%132 W · 170 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ea1…5c4cbacked Hornets6c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-91.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x257f…12fcbacked Bulls79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.51764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb65…3412backed Hornets23c197.78$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Hornets21c195.4$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.716344.4%28 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3f9…1b15backed Hornets15c190.83$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Bulls80c188$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.61,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc3…3febbacked Bulls78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.798373.5%61 W · 22 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7300…523fbacked Hornets7c148.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed Bulls77c140.96$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.42366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets23c140.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.421,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6390…5ee8backed Hornets21c129.28$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.15540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+55%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hornets19c127.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.681,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Bulls80c127$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.411654.3%63 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a65…e883backed Bulls79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.583751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6493…eb83backed Bulls79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Bulls77c125.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9821062.9%132 W · 78 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Bulls80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2530648.7%149 W · 157 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f1…c78bbacked Bulls80c120.01$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Bulls78c119.78$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3553250.4%268 W · 264 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dd5…ff37backed Bulls79c113.92$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.92771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+88.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5f…276fbacked Hornets22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254734%16 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Hornets22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2534548.7%168 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.