NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa833b57585cd9d6cef8aadadc8cb330f80621a5a421f31ce01f9ea27d19bd4ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $312,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $329,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6946…7dc6backed Wizards | 7c | 13,624$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 8c | 13,050$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Wizards | 17c | 10,747$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.42 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Wizards | 8c | 10,486$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.15 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…599dbacked Wizards | 8c | 9,892$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Wizards | 8c | 7,848$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.86 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…5d29backed Wizards | 7c | 6,022$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.51 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Wizards | 11c | 5,203$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.34 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 7c | 5,005$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.35 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Wizards | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Wizards | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Wizards | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 13c | 3,773$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.7 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x916b…e181backed Wizards | 9c | 3,423$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Wizards | 11c | 3,137$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.84 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Wizards | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.97 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Wizards | 9c | 2,851$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.3 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Wizards | 9c | 2,800$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Wizards | 10c | 2,301$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.12 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Wizards | 9c | 2,300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Wizards | 1c | 2,224$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…db6abacked Wizards | 18c | 2,154$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Wizards | 9c | 2,119$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Wizards | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…9b9fbacked Wizards | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Wizards | 14c | 1,846$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Wizards | 10c | 1,818$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.85 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83f5…b3fdbacked Wizards | 8c | 1,800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Wizards | 9c | 1,764$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Wizards | 12c | 1,669$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccab…cb62backed Wizards | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa591…9079backed Wizards | 7c | 1,512$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.47 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Wizards | 12c | 1,375$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wizards | 2c | 1,321$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards | 7c | 1,300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Wizards | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Wizards | 7c | 1,209$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a0…4e12backed Wizards | 9c | 1,193$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.73 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Wizards | 1c | 1,191$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards | 8c | 1,119$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Wizards | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc473…811cbacked Wizards | 9c | 1,098$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…c5b2backed Wizards | 9c | 1,082$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Wizards | 11c | 1,014$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.54 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…748dbacked Wizards | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Wizards | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Wizards | 8c | 999.76$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Wizards | 9c | 966.67$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe21b…621bbacked Wizards | 7c | 921.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…45d7backed Wizards | 10c | 750$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…ab89backed Wizards | 8c | 726.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Wizards | 9c | 684.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Wizards | 13c | 670.14$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…c5f7backed Wizards | 15c | 650$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 7c | 625.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Wizards | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Wizards | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Wizards | 9c | 611.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wizards | 9c | 604.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8b82backed Wizards | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Wizards | 9c | 558.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…3efebacked Wizards | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Wizards | 14c | 553.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Wizards | 7c | 550$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wizards | 6c | 531.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7ef9backed Wizards | 7c | 500.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Wizards | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Wizards | 8c | 499.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf011…994fbacked Wizards | 13c | 478.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…b735backed Wizards | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Wizards | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…7240backed Wizards | 9c | 443.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…ff3bbacked Wizards | 12c | 432.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…fec8backed Wizards | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Wizards | 7c | 372.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfafc…2932backed Wizards | 9c | 352.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Wizards | 11c | 350$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb8…3667backed Wizards | 8c | 349.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Wizards | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b84…74c6backed Wizards | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Wizards | 12c | 330.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…7c4cbacked Wizards | 8c | 323.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Wizards | 15c | 315.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Wizards | 7c | 280$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Wizards | 9c | 276.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Wizards | 9c | 272.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Wizards | 14c | 258.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1292…e678backed Wizards | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Wizards | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…980dbacked Wizards | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Wizards | 8c | 233$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Wizards | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Wizards | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Wizards | 15c | 213.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f36…2305backed Wizards | 16c | 213.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 103 | 69.9%72 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Wizards | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e7…dc3ebacked Wizards | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Wizards | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…6631backed Wizards | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.