NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Lakers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32ff12d8e4d4718ee88549f60cd9b6c6fb9a743558da31964c01bf3dbae54d6f

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Lakersof Jazz, Lakers
Resolved: Feb 11, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $603,498
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $584,768

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $603,498 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz	1c	56,595$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.91	878	3%26 W · 852 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-62%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz	9c	49,896$4,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,273.97	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Jazz	10c	23,009$2,246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,245.62	339	31.9%108 W · 231 L	-28.5wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz	14c	20,758$2,804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,803.51	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Jazz	13c	20,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	118	34.7%41 W · 77 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Jazz	13c	16,900$2,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,193.94	461	31%143 W · 318 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Jazz	13c	16,880$2,246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,245.92	777	45%350 W · 427 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz	12c	15,867$1,942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,941.68	964	47.8%461 W · 503 L	+35.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Jazz	12c	15,108$1,869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,868.98	345	32.8%113 W · 232 L	-16.9wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Jazz	8c	14,083$1,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,111.82	297	38.7%115 W · 182 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Jazz	0c	11,241$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.43	221	37.6%83 W · 138 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Jazz	4c	10,834$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.58	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed Jazz	9c	10,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…2032backed Jazz	15c	9,083$1,362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,362.42	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Jazz	3c	7,537$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.12	259	39%101 W · 158 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Jazz	1c	7,442$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.94	185	18.4%34 W · 151 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Jazz	14c	7,345$1,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,023.18	98	52%51 W · 47 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Jazz	3c	7,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	364	34.9%127 W · 237 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Jazz	13c	6,883$895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$894.74	258	33.7%87 W · 171 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Jazz	13c	5,852$761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760.81	436	53.2%232 W · 204 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb33…aaadbacked Jazz	0c	5,687$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-4.8wins	-0.15per pick	31cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Jazz	3c	5,501$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	214	55.1%118 W · 96 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae1e…7c4cbacked Jazz	3c	5,180$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.4	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	+6.7wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz	9c	5,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Jazz	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	335	0%0 W · 335 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jazz	15c	5,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Jazz	0c	4,925$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.8	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Jazz	5c	4,517$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.77	273	48.7%133 W · 140 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea06…d81fbacked Jazz	1c	4,500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.79	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jazz	12c	4,500$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.72	1,316	50.5%664 W · 652 L	+42.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Jazz	5c	4,494$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.39	262	35.9%94 W · 168 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Jazz	2c	4,370$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.3	168	38.7%65 W · 103 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5784…6a1bbacked Jazz	4c	3,636$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.72	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Jazz	15c	3,579$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.84	202	38.6%78 W · 124 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Jazz	2c	3,496$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.43	220	49.1%108 W · 112 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz	10c	3,300$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Jazz	13c	3,100$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403	623	51.4%320 W · 303 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jazz	12c	3,064$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.32	1,451	49.7%721 W · 730 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc575…3fb1backed Jazz	9c	3,037$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.27	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-3.5wins	-0.12per pick	20cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Jazz	12c	3,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	406	27.8%113 W · 293 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb30c…fc14backed Jazz	1c	2,667$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	28cpaid	-80.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Jazz	1c	2,549$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	652	18.4%120 W · 532 L	+12.0wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Jazz	2c	2,502$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.46	365	14.2%52 W · 313 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Jazz	1c	2,500$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	217	23.5%51 W · 166 L	+9.6wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+75.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Jazz	13c	2,385$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-3.5wins	-0.19per pick	42cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Jazz	13c	2,346$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.02	498	49.4%246 W · 252 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf65e…3850backed Jazz	12c	2,152$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	243	36.2%88 W · 155 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz	14c	2,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz	1c	2,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1,277	2.3%29 W · 1,248 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Jazz	13c	2,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	95	34.7%33 W · 62 L	+7.9wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Jazz	1c	2,000$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	750	2%15 W · 735 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jazz	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1,290	44%567 W · 723 L	+35.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Jazz	2c	1,936$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.56	370	11.4%42 W · 328 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked Jazz	3c	1,821$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.6	48	2.1%1 W · 47 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	6cpaid	-67%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda6b…20bebacked Jazz	15c	1,626$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Jazz	13c	1,500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	350	46%161 W · 189 L	+14.3wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Jazz	13c	1,413$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.94	623	49.6%309 W · 314 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Jazz	2c	1,371$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.07	550	2.5%14 W · 536 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Jazz	15c	1,354$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	261	24.1%63 W · 198 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f25…5dedbacked Jazz	16c	1,271$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.2	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea14…96f5backed Jazz	5c	1,200$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Jazz	13c	1,154$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.02	876	47.5%416 W · 460 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Jazz	12c	1,150$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.5	613	45.5%279 W · 334 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Jazz	13c	1,078$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.2	235	39.1%92 W · 143 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Jazz	12c	1,050$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.5	472	29.4%139 W · 333 L	-33.1wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Jazz	13c	1,013$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.69	1,028	48.5%499 W · 529 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Jazz	15c	1,000$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.53	227	21.6%49 W · 178 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6215…1046backed Jazz	8c	980.18$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.21	106	23.6%25 W · 81 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Jazz	13c	968.01$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.84	736	47.3%348 W · 388 L	-12.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Jazz	14c	745.05$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.21	366	43.2%158 W · 208 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Jazz	12c	605$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.6	855	42%359 W · 496 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Jazz	10c	600$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	706	40.8%288 W · 418 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdd…64a7backed Jazz	4c	522.18$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.64	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.30per pick	30cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Jazz	8c	500$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.37	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	-17.7wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a6b…bfacbacked Jazz	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfafc…2932backed Jazz	19c	499.99$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	75	26.7%20 W · 55 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf650…3109backed Jazz	16c	498.31$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.73	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.29per pick	40cpaid	-85.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7797…14a7backed Jazz	14c	492.86$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3eb…e855backed Jazz	9c	471.11$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Jazz	14c	429.32$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	500	47.2%236 W · 264 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Jazz	13c	419.22$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	231	35.1%81 W · 150 L	-11.1wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd334…fcc2backed Jazz	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	247	25.9%64 W · 183 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3134…8b95backed Jazz	15c	400.01$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	73	41.1%30 W · 43 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc1c…a897backed Jazz	14c	400$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa88f…208fbacked Jazz	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Jazz	14c	368.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,888	37.3%704 W · 1,184 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Jazz	13c	358$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.54	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef6…4641backed Jazz	14c	357.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	104	26%27 W · 77 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked Jazz	14c	357.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	243	29.6%72 W · 171 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…7ff3backed Jazz	15c	300.01$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	286	51.4%147 W · 139 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f43…0508backed Jazz	14c	300$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	134	41.8%56 W · 78 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed Jazz	13c	300$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+4.4wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+300.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc80…2fdbbacked Jazz	15c	300$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe727…a39cbacked Jazz	5c	276.2$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	657	26%171 W · 486 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd28a…6bdcbacked Jazz	14c	276$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.87	132	49.2%65 W · 67 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe344…456dbacked Jazz	16c	256.25$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Jazz	13c	253.85$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	949	51.3%487 W · 462 L	-21.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac26…a2e8backed Jazz	16c	250$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c15…6c6ebacked Jazz	13c	230.78$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	119	40.3%48 W · 71 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd548…c192backed Jazz	15c	220$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jazz vs. Lakers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market