TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,721
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,438

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,721 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a56…85f8backed Yes26c10,026$2,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,606.88728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5037…4f2fbacked No74c10,025$7,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,606.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4f…12e2backed Yes26c10,021$2,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,605.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee6…92c3backed No74c10,011$7,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.83850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes26c8,639$2,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,250.915829.3%17 W · 41 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes25c5,861$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.1579639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x471f…f60abacked No75c5,321$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.012777.8%21 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Yes25c3,488$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.934124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-44.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes24c2,554$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.912817.9%5 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-50.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No77c2,028$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.037458.1%43 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No75c1,380$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.6438645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No76c1,310$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.39763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes24c1,239$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No74c1,164$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.6816660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No75c1,089$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.2534251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No74c1,003$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.6514659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No73c918.94$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.1179650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ed…c7debacked Yes23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes5c829.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1114732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Yes25c698$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.55747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Yes25c650$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.55750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked No75c650$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.53647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed No74c612.28$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.386177%47 W · 14 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No76c600$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14421353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x686e…af8cbacked Yes26c590.62$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.568825%22 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf62c…3e6abacked Yes26c589.85$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.26520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes26c576.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504136.6%15 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd211…628bbacked No75c533.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2caf…239ebacked No75c526.67$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa30c…9f44backed No76c526.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes25c511.54$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305644.6%25 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4595…8618backed Yes26c503.85$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes25c485$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6240135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f80…cf55backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-52.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes24c423.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No74c404$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc01…3e35backed Yes26c403.85$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8498…d219backed Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10440%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e75…7f86backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8373…4bd2backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb58…509fbacked No76c353.95$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed No79c298.73$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.731250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes26c284.62$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7424630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdea…2d7dbacked No75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed No80c250.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.346746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed No73c246.96$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6817447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63d3…046fbacked Yes27c243.37$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes26c230.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405151%26 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8175…e4b8backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…b7cfbacked Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8b…449bbacked Yes26c192.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes28c180$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015025.3%38 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x724f…8a87backed Yes26c136.54$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x407d…1fe8backed Yes27c133.33$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa954…bfdabacked No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes25c126.78$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.790751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029146%134 W · 157 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3147…7667backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed No77c111.63$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.65450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes21c111.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.666031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Yes27c105$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.352245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No74c100.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2681559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaedb…3de3backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…53c8backed No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa08f…44d5backed No75c88.51$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.13977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa822…64e6backed Yes26c88.46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b46…7c2fbacked No75c86.67$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x615e…b526backed Yes26c86.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-42.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0717…cda4backed No75c84.76$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No74c84.61$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2265557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e63…6a34backed No75c82.57$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadd9…6333backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf4…ca91backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1276…6d30backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa2…374dbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6980…a328backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20258%2 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-56.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9660…aedebacked No75c69.33$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.33650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-30.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7526…fb52backed No75c69.33$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd06a…0fb2backed Yes26c69.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b23…e7ccbacked No75c68$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes25c64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1615726.8%42 W · 115 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed No79c59$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3914062.9%88 W · 52 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156637.9%25 W · 41 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ac3…bf4dbacked Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4374…1ddabacked Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe85c…6f25backed Yes26c46.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121225%3 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-61.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe5a1…3726backed No76c45.77$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.1wins0.00per pick71cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf01d…4864backed Yes26c42.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.33828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xae91…8a2abacked Yes26c39.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed No74c37.16$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.662642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…67adbacked No75c31.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.86450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7554…38e2backed No75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+332%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x68e5…c63abacked No79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7183…dcc3backed No75c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.