TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$454,720
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$489,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $454,720 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7059…df24backed No23c135,000$31,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,04710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ef4…292cbacked Yes77c134,735$103,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,988.994100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e55…e3b9backed No57c89,010$50,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,735.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7803…1004backed Yes43c89,000$38,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,730475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+66%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed No56c26,848$15,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,029.665747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb35d…92a0backed No57c26,500$15,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,10530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked No55c20,659$11,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,362.482259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2273…7656backed Yes43c17,010$7,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,695.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No36c15,516$5,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,557.5214732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes43c12,737$5,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,263.9317234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1872…ae0fbacked Yes52c11,595$6,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,590.221241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa259…7724backed Yes45c11,542$5,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,347.93580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No43c10,219$4,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,381.0979639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c0…9cb4backed Yes43c9,509$4,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,419.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Yes64c7,753$4,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,783.32245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eae…547dbacked No57c6,084$3,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,468.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes44c5,382$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,014.495048%24 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87e1…4fd3backed Yes55c5,376$2,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,429.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No57c4,622$2,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,617.2490751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes45c4,444$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.449235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Yes68c3,678$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.44264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Yes72c3,600$2,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0081968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No41c3,249$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.7938645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes64c3,125$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.178633.7%29 W · 57 L-14.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed No2c2,899$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.991442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes53c2,826$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.495829.3%17 W · 41 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x286e…adb7backed Yes73c2,402$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.421040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No33c2,400$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79256453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97cb…9efcbacked Yes44c2,294$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.73728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No57c2,233$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.8824566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No57c2,005$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.6879650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10011548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No56c1,800$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00868026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3785…db43backed No30c1,707$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No22c1,627$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.027458.1%43 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d17…ac75backed No8c1,422$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.73910.3%4 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d99…d5c2backed Yes43c1,400$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59c0…cd82backed No56c1,400$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe474…2c56backed No56c1,250$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4f…4afebacked Yes43c1,250$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes70c1,135$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.7526054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No33c1,129$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.4234251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No57c1,119$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.0516660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.114148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…269bbacked No48c1,038$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed No58c1,011$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.373644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No34c1,000$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.5334643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94eb…37e6backed Yes65c974.43$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.052161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes43c931.21$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.219037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes45c800$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44024630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes43c763.21$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.0310445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa6…f59abacked No57c731.51$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde32…700cbacked Yes63c709.13$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Yes50c706.08$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.513435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Yes49c645.04$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.523545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No55c599.99$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.9917837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes43c578.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.2315636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Yes77c547.17$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.175253.8%28 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed No58c535.32$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.492937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No57c528$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.9683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4890…0968backed No40c520.83$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.335747.4%27 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Yes42c520$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.65151%26 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No33c511.99$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.9640640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Yes67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1658453.6%45 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Yes42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2905536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2755349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf25…224cbacked Yes42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2902040%8 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked No57c499.91$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9521153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes42c487.54$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.772650%13 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No59c485$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.7640135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes65c458.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.1814156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Yes78c452.91$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.792860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Yes43c438.37$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.874252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…b7cfbacked Yes67c432.84$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7532…f9f3backed Yes78c386.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.451764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes39c381.99$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.0217447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes58c376.39$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.0632736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes60c365.17$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.4740046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x023e…d4d2backed Yes80c361.36$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.89666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes44c349.75$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.864245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes46c349.13$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.133948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x630c…1230backed No36c346.76$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8310333%34 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6b…5209backed No58c339.66$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-43.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17aa…cb3dbacked Yes52c328.85$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.33250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No58c328$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2422050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes65c308.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.0119336.8%71 W · 122 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked No57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+40%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed Yes43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1712725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8cd…844dbacked Yes43c292.05$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x684a…1b69backed Yes43c287.11$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x965e…0062backed Yes53c284.72$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.721353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes68c257.54$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0466031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b1f…4367backed Yes43c250.83$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14525339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No57c245.61$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14015347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.13935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad69…815ebacked Yes64c233.17$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.171241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+47.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8b…449bbacked Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.56955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.