Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x677469197c68bee64150918fc8fa3ade4a6c1dc4dea375f5b8a136989b84c5ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1de8…4115backed No | 68c | 100,000$68,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35d…92a0backed Yes | 32c | 100,000$32,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,000.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 34c | 29,869$10,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,149.45 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 66c | 20,386$13,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,931.2 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 31c | 10,714$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 23c | 7,568$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.22 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 68c | 6,771$4,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.58 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 66c | 6,299$4,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.67 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Yes | 30c | 6,260$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.9 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 15c | 5,157$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.07 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 66c | 3,431$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.47 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Yes | 32c | 3,267$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.37 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 34c | 3,050$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658a…b117backed Yes | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 34c | 2,921$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 78c | 2,899$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.34 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,252$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.73 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 31c | 2,222$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.05 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 67c | 2,200$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.01 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 66c | 2,144$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.38 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Yes | 32c | 1,998$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.41 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Yes | 33c | 1,828$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.16 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 75c | 1,730$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.14 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 67c | 1,685$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.15 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 23c | 1,639$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.04 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.98 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed No | 66c | 1,390$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 33c | 1,258$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 67c | 1,241$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.73 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,148$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 67c | 1,142$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.8 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd452…03e0backed No | 70c | 1,029$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 66c | 1,004$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.32 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed No | 67c | 999.94$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.98 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…0400backed No | 71c | 997$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.16 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8da2…50cebacked Yes | 1c | 953.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked No | 65c | 900$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd0…6f8cbacked Yes | 32c | 874.63$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 35c | 863.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…224cbacked No | 69c | 845.6$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.85 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0a…5e93backed Yes | 21c | 823.56$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed No | 73c | 814$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.93 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 34c | 797.06$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.53 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed No | 68c | 735.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.28 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Yes | 32c | 728.21$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.91 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dd…e1b2backed No | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 67c | 676$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.44 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 15c | 671.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes | 17c | 634.86$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.93 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked Yes | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed No | 70c | 561.57$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.38 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…2bd2backed No | 73c | 529.88$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 71c | 528.73$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…3dd4backed Yes | 13c | 526.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 10c | 521.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 65c | 513$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.03 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 32c | 507.73$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.47 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8175…e4b8backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 12c | 499.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 32c | 484.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.36 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…c128backed Yes | 23c | 436.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa970…c980backed No | 67c | 402.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed Yes | 31c | 402.57$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f84…be09backed Yes | 20c | 402.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 67c | 381.12$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.98 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 63c | 361.96$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.93 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked No | 69c | 345.05$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.97 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68fa…c900backed No | 67c | 343.28$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 69c | 304.35$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.35 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…3e7abacked Yes | 4c | 299.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 35c | 281.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb474…a4bcbacked No | 67c | 278.06$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.66 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce62…73d5backed Yes | 16c | 274.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 37c | 271$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…7135backed No | 70c | 265.71$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…2f06backed Yes | 16c | 253.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6109…8a3ebacked Yes | 32c | 249.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 32c | 221.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 24c | 207.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 33c | 203.28$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…1ddabacked Yes | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 33c | 199.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…49aabacked Yes | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes | 17c | 180$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 32c | 167.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…9f3bbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…b339backed No | 67c | 149.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…e4d2backed No | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3deb…b137backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed No | 70c | 129.06$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed No | 70c | 128.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…7ab2backed No | 67c | 126.87$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4633…60c1backed Yes | 34c | 126.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 32c | 126.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-02-16?this page
- Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?No won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.