NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x647d21353fd0d91133c5c460c87706bec354d87f988156779e7f60d7c7dcf841
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Mavericks, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Mavericks | 38c | 25,945$9,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,911.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Mavericks | 7c | 22,400$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Grizzlies | 63c | 10,533$6,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,854.43 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Mavericks | 35c | 7,036$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,462.44 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 6,852$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.71 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Mavericks | 29c | 6,596$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.51 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Mavericks | 15c | 4,603$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.11 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Mavericks | 35c | 4,313$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.55 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Mavericks | 2c | 3,198$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Grizzlies | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Grizzlies | 63c | 2,528$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.96 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Mavericks | 56c | 2,161$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 1,975$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.11 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 42c | 1,895$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Grizzlies | 65c | 1,700$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.98 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Grizzlies | 60c | 1,422$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.23 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 1,421$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.4 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Mavericks | 19c | 1,404$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.56 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2065…48f2backed Grizzlies | 64c | 1,361$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…6d6cbacked Mavericks | 37c | 1,360$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Mavericks | 34c | 1,340$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Grizzlies | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f2…df5fbacked Grizzlies | 65c | 1,127$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +274.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Mavericks | 20c | 1,083$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.55 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Grizzlies | 62c | 1,067$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.13 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mavericks | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 1,000$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.89 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Mavericks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…7305backed Grizzlies | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 999.97$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 64c | 999.94$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.98 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Grizzlies | 75c | 938.79$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.79 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Grizzlies | 56c | 897.12$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.73 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x321a…b052backed Grizzlies | 65c | 891.21$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.21 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Mavericks | 35c | 884.4$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.78 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 41c | 881.12$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.18 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 877$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.2 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb4…d3bdbacked Mavericks | 40c | 875$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Mavericks | 34c | 846.71$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.77 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Grizzlies | 65c | 820.59$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.47 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…dfd8backed Grizzlies | 56c | 799.99$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe6…2255backed Mavericks | 36c | 794.82$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Grizzlies | 55c | 766.6$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.88 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Mavericks | 34c | 764.24$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.84 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Grizzlies | 61c | 759.7$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.48 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…a0ffbacked Mavericks | 54c | 741.14$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.04 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Grizzlies | 63c | 709.14$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.88 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Grizzlies | 65c | 700$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Grizzlies | 67c | 617.91$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.91 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…cbaabacked Grizzlies | 65c | 608.03$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Mavericks | 35c | 603.17$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.37 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Grizzlies | 64c | 594.96$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.18 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Mavericks | 34c | 582.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…0c87backed Mavericks | 32c | 561.83$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.79 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 539.23$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.52 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Mavericks | 29c | 536.06$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.2 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Grizzlies | 59c | 531.48$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.78 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Grizzlies | 61c | 519.33$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.13 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…e44fbacked Grizzlies | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Grizzlies | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Mavericks | 33c | 482.88$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.36 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1340…a94ebacked Grizzlies | 64c | 475$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mavericks | 2c | 461$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks | 33c | 453.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.81 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Mavericks | 36c | 453$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.33 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…4322backed Mavericks | 22c | 450$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Mavericks | 56c | 447.3$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.49 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…808dbacked Mavericks | 36c | 429.25$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Mavericks | 20c | 415.1$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.07 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Grizzlies | 66c | 414.99$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.1 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 400$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…f988backed Grizzlies | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 20c | 384.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79aa…62f9backed Grizzlies | 65c | 383.08$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.08 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 380$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…4ae4backed Grizzlies | 65c | 379.52$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.83 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mavericks | 34c | 378.05$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.16 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Mavericks | 34c | 350.85$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…efd1backed Mavericks | 36c | 332.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7684…4d2dbacked Grizzlies | 65c | 319.69$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.89 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Grizzlies | 48c | 316.83$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.75 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Grizzlies | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e72…04c7backed Mavericks | 33c | 303.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0319…ee14backed Grizzlies | 67c | 298.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1eb…76febacked Grizzlies | 67c | 298.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Mavericks | 62c | 296.76$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b61…be28backed Grizzlies | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ac…15f9backed Grizzlies | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3a…f76dbacked Grizzlies | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f0…4795backed Grizzlies | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 121 | 63.6%77 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x118f…9088backed Grizzlies | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2b…aa1fbacked Grizzlies | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…1d77backed Grizzlies | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…1513backed Grizzlies | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…7c06backed Grizzlies | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Mavericks | 38c | 290$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Mavericks | 36c | 279.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…9642backed Mavericks | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 303 | 54.1%164 W · 139 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.