TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Hawks, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$332,151
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$357,611

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,151 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18d2…81e0backed Hawks31c37,348$11,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,590.842369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks61c35,700$21,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,977.083,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd46a…5adbbacked Hawks78c19,605$15,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,367.591457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks41c12,100$5,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,001.491,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Mavericks62c12,051$7,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,632.8625865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Mavericks59c10,637$6,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,383.1115741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Mavericks51c9,658$4,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,702.623342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Hawks39c9,228$3,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,605.4812938%49 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Mavericks73c7,000$5,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9201,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Mavericks60c6,999$4,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,807.7328341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked Mavericks44c6,553$2,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,671.773860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Hawks38c5,985$2,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,281.7161345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Hawks45c5,364$2,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,414.2623237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Hawks56c5,105$2,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,883.6229957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Mavericks61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Mavericks54c4,919$2,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.2914034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed Hawks54c4,591$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,493.553636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mavericks57c4,090$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.391,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Mavericks55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80029747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Hawks73c4,000$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,92029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Hawks41c3,823$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.3988053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Mavericks58c3,683$2,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.843652.8%19 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Hawks58c3,661$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,123.8827163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a93…ecf9backed Mavericks59c3,438$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.8411250.9%57 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Mavericks23c3,378$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,608.7348046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Mavericks33c3,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0206454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Hawks45c2,988$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.8670640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Hawks74c2,700$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9982142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mavericks58c2,653$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.7896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Hawks48c2,614$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.133234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Hawks40c2,435$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97440627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f4…8c52backed Hawks42c2,373$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010540%42 W · 63 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Hawks40c2,316$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.1837448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa201…ab01backed Mavericks61c2,250$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+48.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Hawks39c2,242$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.3637734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Mavericks61c2,155$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.4428347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Mavericks43c2,146$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.9453134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe84…779ebacked Mavericks62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7604100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+145.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6760…2e12backed Hawks38c1,997$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.86825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid+65.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Mavericks58c1,877$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.221,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd154…ab8abacked Hawks38c1,806$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.45933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-49.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hawks39c1,522$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.751,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Hawks38c1,398$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.8477745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Mavericks62c1,329$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.7513248.5%64 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Mavericks56c1,300$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5681,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Hawks29c1,204$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Hawks41c1,192$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.3223554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Mavericks63c1,116$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3229643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Mavericks60c1,062$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.8245743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hawks44c1,002$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.575,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mavericks58c999.99$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35a0…97d9backed Mavericks42c992.84$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.62757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Hawks64c972.98$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62066744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Mavericks58c859.11$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.1134852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Mavericks64c857.38$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.136751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Hawks36c828.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Hawks48c822.5$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.1326640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Hawks61c805.66$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.6625016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0397…0657backed Mavericks63c798.37$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.371566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0d…0ed4backed Mavericks61c777.87$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.371963.2%12 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff5c…ccbdbacked Hawks40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001020%2 W · 8 L-3.7wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-64.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6fa1…591abacked Hawks57c750$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.56450%32 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4583…0bb9backed Hawks38c696.95$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.841947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb43c…d43bbacked Mavericks77c670$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.113043.1%56 W · 74 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Mavericks49c650$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33095848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Mavericks79c636.16$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0817256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mavericks60c630$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25257760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Hawks2c625$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.258783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Hawks65c615.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009450%47 W · 47 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Mavericks58c613.33$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.3330061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Hawks19c519.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008962.9%56 W · 33 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Hawks39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19536434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Mavericks60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20030351.8%157 W · 146 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Mavericks61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Mavericks60c486.54$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0773647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2010…1fc9backed Mavericks72c484.76$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.731060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa33f…c25ebacked Mavericks63c473.79$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.793246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5295…d666backed Mavericks43c459.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.921643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa191…7facbacked Mavericks63c444.44$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.442268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2065…48f2backed Hawks39c440$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.61643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Mavericks57c400$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1736358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Mavericks50c396.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.0819944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x08d1…b3d4backed Hawks33c388.58$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f9…b09ebacked Hawks40c360.43$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Mavericks62c350$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1335563.6%35 W · 20 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Hawks42c347.15$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1847229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x81f8…ead6backed Hawks48c344.62$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7118236.8%67 W · 115 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Hawks45c323.54$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14526934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Mavericks55c300$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.358754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mavericks61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11770153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Hawks39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11772341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Mavericks62c299.98$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9950453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Mavericks63c299.92$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.975530.9%17 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6929…0e4bbacked Mavericks74c296.76$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.426253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hawks38c294.67$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.573051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Hawks38c266.5$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2727735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mavericks63c263.85$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.571,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x831b…eed5backed Hawks38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015742.7%67 W · 90 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Hawks35c259.32$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3822430.8%69 W · 155 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd3…9642backed Hawks40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030354.1%164 W · 139 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.