NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76da20d608a12bb232752f8e55978a7ca3ce6c9ad07b55ced5709f587f0ab226
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Flames, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaaf2…0300backed Flames | 1c | 15,491$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Flames | 58c | 15,489$9,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,040 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Flames | 1c | 11,740$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Oilers | 60c | 11,364$6,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.13 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Oilers | 15c | 7,821$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,660.69 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Flames | 50c | 6,366$3,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.09 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Flames | 40c | 5,639$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.67 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Oilers | 50c | 5,582$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Flames | 39c | 3,500$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.84 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Flames | 39c | 3,164$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.72 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Oilers | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.9 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Oilers | 13c | 2,767$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.67 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Oilers | 59c | 2,552$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.41 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Flames | 51c | 2,537$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Oilers | 49c | 2,351$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.27 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Flames | 40c | 2,283$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.34 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Oilers | 62c | 2,252$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.41 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Oilers | 61c | 2,167$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.2 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Flames | 42c | 2,000$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.08 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Flames | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Oilers | 62c | 1,847$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.94 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…a7d5backed Flames | 40c | 1,687$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc5…63c0backed Oilers | 60c | 1,685$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Oilers | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Oilers | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Oilers | 38c | 1,514$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.33 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oilers | 29c | 1,466$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.56 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2065…48f2backed Oilers | 62c | 1,450$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c93…8f21backed Flames | 38c | 1,446$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Flames | 38c | 1,399$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.56 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flames | 40c | 1,184$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.44 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Flames | 55c | 1,164$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Oilers | 45c | 1,122$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.22 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Oilers | 46c | 1,098$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.92 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Oilers | 59c | 1,070$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.69 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Flames | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Oilers | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flames | 39c | 962.27$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.04 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1741…cffbbacked Oilers | 61c | 721.98$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Oilers | 61c | 669.37$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.37 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Flames | 72c | 634.23$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.65 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Oilers | 45c | 620.17$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.37 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Flames | 39c | 617.95$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Flames | 39c | 606.34$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.47 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Flames | 37c | 599.98$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.99 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Flames | 64c | 554.69$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Flames | 38c | 519.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…d7b7backed Oilers | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc90b…b81abacked Flames | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Oilers | 61c | 489.99$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb7…e7c3backed Flames | 77c | 466$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Oilers | 47c | 433.51$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.76 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0f…da3abacked Flames | 66c | 413.72$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…0075backed Flames | 41c | 400.63$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x318a…360bbacked Flames | 55c | 358.75$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.31 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Oilers | 57c | 325$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.75 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Oilers | 61c | 312.93$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.04 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Flames | 39c | 311.67$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Oilers | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Oilers | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec16…07f9backed Oilers | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c0…823bbacked Flames | 41c | 243.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Oilers | 60c | 234.37$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.88 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Oilers | 59c | 221.97$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c4…ff35backed Flames | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…10d6backed Oilers | 42c | 200$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…4a09backed Flames | 39c | 183.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Oilers | 58c | 175.81$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Flames | 41c | 175.34$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7c…eae8backed Flames | 38c | 148.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked Oilers | 43c | 145$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58bb…1bd7backed Oilers | 63c | 140$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1e…7a9dbacked Flames | 39c | 135.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe027…14a3backed Flames | 39c | 133.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…d1ddbacked Flames | 40c | 133.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f6…c312backed Oilers | 53c | 132.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Flames | 41c | 132.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Oilers | 61c | 127.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Oilers | 34c | 126.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.93 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc91…2083backed Flames | 39c | 125.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…3bc1backed Flames | 39c | 115.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers | 59c | 113.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2da…b4debacked Flames | 38c | 113.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Flames | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Oilers | 38c | 105.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d39…983bbacked Oilers | 63c | 101.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5354…9c15backed Oilers | 62c | 100.15$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flames | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Flames | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Flames | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…6c3abacked Flames | 39c | 92.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae03…4726backed Oilers | 62c | 90.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…5e0dbacked Oilers | 62c | 88.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…fd50backed Flames | 39c | 87.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbebd…93afbacked Oilers | 61c | 87.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2820…f572backed Flames | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…65ecbacked Flames | 39c | 86.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb70f…2847backed Oilers | 62c | 82.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.