TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Wizards

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Pelicans, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$188,739
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,739 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1484…cafebacked Wizards3c21,624$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.7229738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Wizards37c20,555$7,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,633.0947542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pelicans67c8,730$5,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,919.8577745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Wizards1c5,967$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.323237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Pelicans59c5,655$3,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,343.119350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Wizards35c5,221$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,815.256533.8%22 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8258…f208backed Wizards33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.987032.9%23 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Pelicans64c4,168$2,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.9437448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb370…0cb0backed Pelicans65c3,696$2,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.516450%32 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans67c3,181$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.665642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Wizards37c2,960$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.5846131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Wizards10c2,467$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9413920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Pelicans62c2,337$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.9637954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards1c2,012$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.131,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards1c2,000$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Wizards1c2,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f9…c12cbacked Pelicans64c2,000$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb09…dd9cbacked Wizards2c1,850$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63bf…e319backed Wizards16c1,733$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.281030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid+216.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Wizards36c1,716$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.659250%46 W · 46 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Pelicans76c1,341$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.4229043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Pelicans68c1,311$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.6315947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5865…fbc6backed Wizards37c1,305$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf96d…dafdbacked Pelicans70c1,276$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.172152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Wizards34c1,206$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.0450245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Wizards1c1,187$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.371,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Wizards38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e63…9313backed Wizards17c999.98$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.991643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+49.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaf9…3084backed Wizards37c945.81$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9540%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Wizards43c940.45$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x752c…2356backed Wizards35c936.3$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb040…c250backed Pelicans66c936.3$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans67c926.38$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.971,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Wizards33c912.12$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30151037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabfc…c566backed Wizards37c906.26$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.7825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-60.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac7c…0dc3backed Pelicans64c901.56$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.56875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x48d3…5d66backed Wizards4c811.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.234418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf39…48f4backed Pelicans66c811.4$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58aa…830dbacked Wizards35c811.4$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Pelicans64c800$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28825651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94e3…da40backed Pelicans64c784.98$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.591353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Pelicans62c783.07$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.7761532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2065…48f2backed Wizards33c780$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.41643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa784…c046backed Wizards16c748.39$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.932532%8 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Wizards35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25023248.7%113 W · 119 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4b4…aaafbacked Wizards37c698$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9325…42fabacked Wizards34c650$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Wizards28c600$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1661,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Wizards35c580$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20330440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x558e…9d39backed Pelicans70c571.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.433663.9%23 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans68c566.34$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.755,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0076…96babacked Pelicans64c536.95$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+66.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Wizards3c502.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.558129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Pelicans63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18529148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Wizards36c499.92$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9775347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Pelicans63c496.55$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.726365.1%41 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Pelicans77c485.33$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.939843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Wizards34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506429.7%19 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Wizards4c423.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.055502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Pelicans74c410.36$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4625957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc2…b9c9backed Pelicans65c408.59$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3c…11d0backed Wizards33c407$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.311540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b14…f682backed Wizards37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x173c…5db5backed Pelicans64c400$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c9f…0cdfbacked Wizards35c379.62$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.956844.1%30 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75b2…94a5backed Pelicans66c340$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Wizards36c332.27$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6273051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…4ae4backed Pelicans67c314.79$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.886435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Pelicans65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.691,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Wizards33c306.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pelicans68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9689353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a07…4769backed Pelicans71c279.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.744862.5%30 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0b…f974backed Pelicans68c254.66$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.498146.9%38 W · 43 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Wizards35c250.57$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0288053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Wizards32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809739.2%38 W · 59 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Pelicans68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Pelicans65c232.1$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1847948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8dd…afcabacked Pelicans72c208.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.673762.2%23 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfac8…7a9ebacked Wizards31c205.14$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Pelicans66c200$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8985542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Pelicans60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8035165.2%229 W · 122 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed9…1ababacked Pelicans64c187.5$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.52759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25de…794bbacked Wizards34c176.4$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604742.6%20 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81c7…8b51backed Wizards32c175.81$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.26862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36bd…c92dbacked Pelicans66c162$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.08887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick55cpaid+54.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4cd3…9642backed Pelicans63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7330354.1%164 W · 139 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0319…ee14backed Pelicans64c157.81$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8111763.2%74 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b61…be28backed Pelicans64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2512065%78 W · 42 L+0.5wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18ac…15f9backed Pelicans64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2511662.1%72 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e3a…f76dbacked Pelicans64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2511863.6%75 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1eb…76febacked Pelicans64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2511963.9%76 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e6…5d2bbacked Pelicans64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.255369.8%37 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f0…4795backed Pelicans64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2512163.6%77 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x118f…9088backed Pelicans64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2512165.3%79 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2b…aa1fbacked Pelicans64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2512065%78 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69eb…1d77backed Pelicans64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2512064.2%77 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4184…1513backed Pelicans64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2511864.4%76 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa51b…7c06backed Pelicans64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2511863.6%75 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd09…4198backed Pelicans64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.255862.1%36 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8da1…1762backed Wizards34c154.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.