TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$261,010
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$260,390

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,010 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x24b9…bcb1backed Kings0c16,907$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.837011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Kings69c14,558$10,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,116.0915056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Pistons35c11,463$3,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,501.137448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f8…63d5backed Kings61c10,024$6,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,114.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd54f…ec81backed Pistons39c10,022$3,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,113.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kings75c8,139$6,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,104.5970147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons36c7,386$2,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,748.881,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb370…0cb0backed Pistons36c6,986$2,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,475.926450%32 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pistons5c6,817$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,476.291,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4741…6cf0backed Kings69c6,644$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.571154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pistons5c6,417$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,097.611,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd6e…b233backed Pistons38c5,820$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,637.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons21c5,673$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,475.313,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Pistons18c5,581$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,577.4672241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings62c4,500$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,789.991,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Pistons20c3,874$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,097.625651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Kings66c3,686$2,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,432.6933752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x379d…54efbacked Pistons1c3,649$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,629.89540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+3,796.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pistons38c2,632$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.581,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eda…7c87backed Pistons22c2,273$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.73425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Kings78c2,076$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.8736057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Pistons25c2,046$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.684052.5%21 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+34.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Pistons23c2,000$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.991,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Pistons38c1,860$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.976533.8%22 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Pistons7c1,460$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.3947535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pistons34c1,459$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.7372341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Pistons14c1,422$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.921,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Kings72c1,322$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.8726235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pistons32c1,252$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.8377745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2065…48f2backed Kings66c1,210$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.471643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Kings66c1,200$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79217243%74 W · 98 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7896…3e00backed Pistons34c1,177$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.272142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons35c1,130$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7331,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Pistons24c1,100$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83618044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xccfb…376ebacked Pistons34c1,077$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.111145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings67c1,020$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.2765642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pistons27c1,010$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.331,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea0d…821cbacked Pistons35c1,003$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.646642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Pistons10c987.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.7738942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Pistons15c948.07$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.861,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ae…cb95backed Pistons36c900$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57626049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pistons36c808.33$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.3338027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Pistons33c800.54$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.779646.9%45 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kings65c769.87$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2373051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Kings73c764.44$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.1261532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7764…dc84backed Pistons11c670$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.7577%4 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-60.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x080a…8b56backed Pistons19c617.86$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.864344.2%19 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Pistons30c600$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4209338.7%36 W · 57 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+91.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings61c575.37$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.061,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Pistons35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.4315940.3%64 W · 95 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Pistons48c559.6$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.1861851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Pistons7c556$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.464573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Pistons36c523.36$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.9537831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Pistons34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33012154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdd…64a7backed Pistons28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+74.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings73c500$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.31,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42e8…9d10backed Pistons27c493.79$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.2121357.7%123 W · 90 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Pistons27c475$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.7542434.4%146 W · 278 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6153…0e04backed Kings66c454.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006347.6%30 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc616…4b8fbacked Kings67c446.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Kings63c444$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.7220245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Pistons36c414.83$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.4914150.4%71 W · 70 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Pistons38c410.53$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5338132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Pistons36c409$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.238040%32 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6753…7340backed Pistons19c408.41$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.534344.2%19 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Kings74c404.36$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3538…e615backed Pistons65c401.24$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.852161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+131%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Kings58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2325468.5%37 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78da…9d47backed Pistons26c400$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.256851.5%35 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Kings66c399.97$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9835046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf74…c136backed Pistons13c398.88$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.982924.1%7 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick16cpaid+135.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Kings70c388.13$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.7570951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Kings66c370$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.211662.9%73 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Pistons11c367.94$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.946947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Kings59c360.92$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.6340448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pistons31c360.64$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.2996447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Pistons28c350$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25210833.3%36 W · 72 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Pistons32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.56640.9%27 W · 39 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+41.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x984d…f8eabacked Pistons5c308.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.551711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid+35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x610d…188bbacked Pistons33c302.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.9818628%52 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Kings66c302.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Pistons3c300$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29013611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Pistons18c300$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.377437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Pistons35c287.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.1617838.2%68 W · 110 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x483e…2d6bbacked Pistons36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.782365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef03…e4babacked Pistons36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.782864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeeb9…a974backed Pistons7c277.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.651330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick20cpaid+106.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6109…8a3ebacked Pistons38c265.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.633444.1%15 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+42.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x061e…8e2fbacked Pistons38c263.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.52937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Kings64c261.98$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.6776249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Pistons13c261.08$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.1435734.5%123 W · 234 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Pistons33c261.03$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.6545251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Pistons33c261$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.6311150.5%56 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kings65c255$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.7485542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Pistons33c243.8$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.3459653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb338…ad5bbacked Pistons33c242.42$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.422540%10 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Pistons10c234.51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.2236514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Pistons33c209.87$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6671747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa88f…208fbacked Pistons24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.334420.5%9 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Kings63c200.13$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0835165.2%229 W · 122 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.