TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Steelers vs. Ravens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ravensof Steelers, Ravens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,313,824
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,306,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,313,824 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9d45…b661backed Steelers3c153,719$4,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,913.528218.3%15 W · 67 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Steelers18c77,989$14,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,038.0816545.5%75 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad3e…4422backed Steelers18c77,794$14,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,257.423650%18 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53d2…0c3fbacked Steelers18c76,664$13,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,799.495644.6%25 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb8…e817backed Steelers13c70,624$9,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,418.52540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+134.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Steelers14c34,169$4,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,754.485650%28 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Steelers17c28,327$4,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,815.577042.9%30 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Steelers19c24,410$4,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,595.992055%11 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbaa…06c3backed Steelers2c23,017$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9450%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x236a…9a00backed Steelers19c19,205$3,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6081631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Steelers2c18,532$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.953452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Steelers18c16,439$2,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.029259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Steelers17c15,398$2,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,617.7219645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Steelers11c11,042$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.421127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Steelers3c10,212$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2745014%7 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-71.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9969…c885backed Steelers10c10,045$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Steelers18c9,788$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.753844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c1…1b90backed Steelers5c9,194$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.164316.3%7 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-59.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Steelers19c8,883$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.7211346.9%53 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f9…ed12backed Steelers18c7,803$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.52015%3 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-65.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd86…36b3backed Steelers18c7,537$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.73920.5%8 W · 31 L-6.8wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Steelers14c6,800$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.438348.2%40 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+77.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Steelers4c6,612$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.2410639.6%42 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ad…5c65backed Steelers18c6,410$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.81933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Steelers18c6,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0802626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Steelers1c5,739$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.133821.1%8 W · 30 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+55.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Steelers19c5,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9402744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Steelers18c5,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92014750.3%74 W · 73 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Steelers17c4,917$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.8425137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Steelers15c4,673$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.981822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Steelers8c4,363$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.3710624.5%26 W · 80 L-12.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-40.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc43f…c86dbacked Steelers19c4,270$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30bc…2529backed Steelers18c3,882$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.761838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x049a…b22abacked Steelers1c3,547$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.772128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Steelers16c3,385$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.5644246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe81…5fe9backed Steelers18c3,079$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.744955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc326…2ee1backed Steelers19c3,073$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c73…b02bbacked Steelers19c2,836$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc020…598ebacked Steelers19c2,804$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Steelers17c2,669$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.662133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Steelers17c2,552$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.8917823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90f6…b703backed Steelers2c2,300$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Steelers18c2,232$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.81513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Steelers1c2,100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234615.2%7 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-74.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Steelers18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36029356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Steelers19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38011738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a23…079fbacked Steelers13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee42…f5c6backed Steelers18c1,982$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x844b…0a51backed Steelers5c1,964$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.382123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x71ee…8cf8backed Steelers19c1,579$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Steelers7c1,501$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007456.8%42 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Steelers12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x444e…01d0backed Steelers14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x744b…6132backed Steelers7c1,417$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Steelers5c1,390$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5117548%84 W · 91 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e0…f11cbacked Steelers19c1,390$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.11137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick19cpaid-84.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f5…4850backed Steelers19c1,316$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x617d…fd9fbacked Steelers4c1,300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.89728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-46.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Steelers19c1,263$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.16825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb54e…8f34backed Steelers7c1,243$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.82733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b6b…12e7backed Steelers13c1,240$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.22944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Steelers16c1,202$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.428556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Steelers4c1,177$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6522838.6%88 W · 140 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Steelers18c1,156$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.9922638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d97…fbd8backed Steelers17c1,150$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.49185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-82.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcece…dc07backed Steelers15c1,141$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5b9…0e25backed Steelers18c1,110$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+55.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8575…b55ebacked Steelers19c1,105$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcac2…1793backed Steelers19c1,050$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Ravens80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Steelers18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18033047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf0…1179backed Steelers14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e90…2097backed Steelers19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Steelers9c990.15$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.514215.5%22 W · 120 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f51…2019backed Steelers16c927.81$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.762458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+38.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfac2…0b71backed Steelers18c844.61$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x827b…1eedbacked Steelers7c828.64$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9612333.3%41 W · 82 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5781…e19fbacked Steelers19c800$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.52922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b7…993abacked Steelers12c791.97$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Steelers17c771.94$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5514022.9%32 W · 108 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2135…f305backed Steelers7c765.13$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559238%35 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eda…1732backed Steelers18c749.94$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db3…77ccbacked Steelers5c745.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3513024.6%32 W · 98 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf3…a5a0backed Steelers5c732.78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Steelers17c709.06$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.831854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff3c…2211backed Steelers10c685.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7050%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Steelers19c683.79$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.924344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde88…46d0backed Steelers7c675$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Steelers18c626.5$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.776841.2%28 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Steelers20c600$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa501…9f0fbacked Steelers18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085641.1%23 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe3…bdfabacked Steelers3c583.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2331…408cbacked Steelers19c571$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.74933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Steelers15c563.23$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.96425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-63.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf61b…f73ebacked Steelers19c550$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051625%4 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-56.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Steelers18c540$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.228447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8db6…da81backed Steelers19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008149.4%40 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2e…64febacked Steelers19c522$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x595a…ad9fbacked Steelers19c516.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f1…ab4fbacked Steelers18c509.5$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.