NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcae31c3d4fef1462c87fd01d7d558f25bdda1fef785ea5b19a384f87f16f397b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $229,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Hornets | 8c | 24,515$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.41 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 14c | 14,154$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.94 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Hornets | 19c | 12,500$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.96 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Hornets | 12c | 5,292$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.54 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bucks | 80c | 5,239$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.5 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Hornets | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Bucks | 78c | 4,737$3,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.41 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Hornets | 0c | 4,600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d4…6f09backed Hornets | 22c | 4,542$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.34 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Hornets | 1c | 3,055$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Hornets | 20c | 3,044$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.68 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 20c | 3,030$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.03 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bucks | 79c | 2,910$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.2 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Hornets | 6c | 2,855$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.01 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets | 10c | 2,196$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.38 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bucks | 80c | 2,149$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.66 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hornets | 24c | 2,000$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.89 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Hornets | 20c | 1,950$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hornets | 1c | 1,887$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…b992backed Hornets | 20c | 1,800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Bucks | 80c | 1,590$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.91 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Bucks | 75c | 1,552$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.55 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Hornets | 19c | 1,520$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.78 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf98e…40a5backed Bucks | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Hornets | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc575…3fb1backed Hornets | 12c | 1,417$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.07 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hornets | 20c | 1,317$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.24 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Hornets | 2c | 1,300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…f3a5backed Hornets | 20c | 1,210$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.06 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Hornets | 15c | 1,208$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.14 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Hornets | 20c | 1,019$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.71 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Hornets | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Hornets | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hornets | 21c | 999.92$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Hornets | 21c | 976.32$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Bucks | 78c | 891.88$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.88 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Hornets | 1c | 838$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…2c77backed Hornets | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81a…1643backed Hornets | 16c | 720$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Hornets | 14c | 699.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed Bucks | 79c | 661.24$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.04 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Bucks | 76c | 645$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Hornets | 25c | 640$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…224cbacked Hornets | 7c | 599.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hornets | 19c | 504.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…aaadbacked Hornets | 20c | 500.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Hornets | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Hornets | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets | 22c | 477$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.53 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Hornets | 20c | 420$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Hornets | 12c | 392.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bucks | 76c | 387.08$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.9 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bucks | 78c | 353.1$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Hornets | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hornets | 21c | 303.36$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…bbcbbacked Bucks | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Bucks | 80c | 299.98$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdc…a9bfbacked Hornets | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…13b0backed Hornets | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Hornets | 21c | 275.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6d…a13fbacked Bucks | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Hornets | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Hornets | 21c | 238.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…7c4cbacked Hornets | 8c | 232.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Hornets | 13c | 225.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Bucks | 80c | 223$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Hornets | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…4504backed Hornets | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Hornets | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…62e4backed Hornets | 20c | 195.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Hornets | 25c | 191.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ece…2340backed Hornets | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hornets | 13c | 155$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bucks | 79c | 144$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Bucks | 77c | 142.18$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Hornets | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ea…2dd0backed Hornets | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Hornets | 20c | 125.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 51.3%177 W · 168 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…995dbacked Bucks | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…ff3bbacked Hornets | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…d8c7backed Bucks | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…b387backed Hornets | 17c | 119.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Bucks | 80c | 117.39$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Hornets | 21c | 113.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…e44abacked Bucks | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb9…5433backed Hornets | 21c | 110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…a5dbbacked Hornets | 22c | 109.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Hornets | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Hornets | 24c | 105.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Hornets | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Bucks | 75c | 100.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Hornets | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Hornets | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bucks | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…d9e2backed Bucks | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Hornets | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Bucks | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Hornets | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…7a92backed Hornets | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa181…6eb9backed Bucks | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.