TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Hawks, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$317,312
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$371,767

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,312 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 429 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfbff…af05backed Suns54c38,439$20,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,520.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Hawks45c37,046$16,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,807.8429738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Hawks4c14,752$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.6326235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fad…171ebacked Suns71c11,444$8,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,318.624100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+93.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Hawks35c10,000$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,45066744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Hawks2c9,362$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.3170147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x025c…b4b4backed Hawks29c7,310$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Suns71c6,938$4,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.9861532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Hawks33c6,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Suns70c5,269$3,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.8215551%79 W · 76 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Suns67c4,154$2,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.891,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e68…509dbacked Hawks29c3,968$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Suns70c3,788$2,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.7929043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Hawks27c3,782$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.2865642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Suns69c3,200$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.9537954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Suns68c3,080$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.630351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdacd…cfb2backed Hawks1c3,035$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.766224.2%15 W · 47 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hawks2c2,921$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.411,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks34c2,882$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.621,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks35c2,746$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.551,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Hawks2c2,700$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5715741.4%65 W · 92 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks1c2,443$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.981,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Hawks40c2,398$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.5730443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Hawks31c2,262$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.8531125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Suns71c2,247$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.1214941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Suns68c2,243$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.8973051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…2f5fbacked Hawks30c2,169$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.722050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Suns70c2,106$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.8262351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hawks2c2,100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Hawks17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34036843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Hawks28c1,926$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.1948137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Hawks40c1,810$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.098921.3%19 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…e717backed Hawks20c1,808$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.685532.7%18 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hawks32c1,610$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.6850245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Suns68c1,500$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.61,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x297e…0bf9backed Hawks32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.991127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-47.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d62…476cbacked Suns67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.981190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.34per pick57cpaid+92.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Hawks33c1,353$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.4919845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Hawks29c1,322$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.936514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58df…76b4backed Hawks33c1,300$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4291353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37fe…7924backed Suns67c1,300$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-78.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c1b…cc3abacked Suns67c1,300$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.971428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-45.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c8b…fc3dbacked Hawks32c1,299$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Suns77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.7716261.7%100 W · 62 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad59…0f1abacked Hawks20c1,256$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.3330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Hawks38c1,177$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.566229%18 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa4c6…6478backed Suns68c1,153$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.851346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59b7…f3d9backed Hawks33c1,152$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Hawks33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33022721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hawks34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ac…b899backed Hawks30c952.09$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.636943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Suns63c927.81$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.3525957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Hawks28c877.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Hawks2c858$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.85502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Suns70c850$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25511662.9%73 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3e…b656backed Suns70c828.57$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.575269.2%36 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Suns62c812.12$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.1213352.6%70 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Suns68c800.11$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.0415947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Hawks31c790.32$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2453627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70de…5688backed Hawks25c766.2$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.44429.5%13 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69aa…8847backed Suns75c761.2$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.33284.4%27 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Hawks28c709.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.317141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a8…adcebacked Hawks29c699.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20116341.1%67 W · 96 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Hawks31c697.71$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.0727735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Hawks16c649.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10247535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Suns67c647.93$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.8230440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Suns67c621.2$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.7139843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Hawks31c618.62$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.291,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Suns72c611.59$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.0170951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Hawks33c610.71$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20438132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hawks29c609.89$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.731,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Hawks34c600$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20214039.3%55 W · 85 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Hawks34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Hawks31c586.72$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.8820047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Hawks30c528.76$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1247948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Hawks23c522.12$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.871,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hawks30c507.06$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2696447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Suns68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Hawks33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16572241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Suns68c499.96$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4929148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Suns71c494.32$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.763,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed Suns70c483$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.916160.9%98 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Hawks33c480.45$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5528657.3%164 W · 122 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Hawks29c443.98$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.752,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e5…e26cbacked Hawks55c428.42$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.6312651.6%65 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Hawks31c427.93$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5816838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9d…552abacked Suns71c424.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.751070%7 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfe8…fcabbacked Hawks24c421.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001464.3%9 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.29per pick35cpaid+62.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c3b…ba90backed Suns68c414$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.481172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf92…e512backed Hawks35c399.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9919746.2%91 W · 106 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed01…9bb9backed Hawks26c369.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.12454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4469…cefebacked Hawks11c366.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.164042.5%17 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64ce…08e8backed Hawks39c359.64$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.26944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bc1…06edbacked Hawks16c353.04$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5588335.3%312 W · 571 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf7f…8995backed Hawks31c319.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009451.1%48 W · 46 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb78b…34b6backed Hawks47c306.4$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.96850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Hawks33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb8…3667backed Hawks36c301.52$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.56246.8%29 W · 33 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Suns55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13530251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Hawks35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10526547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.