TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Shaq's OGs vs. Candace's Rising Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Shaq's OGsof Shaq's OGs, Candace's Rising Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,379
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$227,876

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,379 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xacb4…7595backed Candace's Rising Stars10c23,501$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,427.9812540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Candace's Rising Stars13c18,900$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,456.8929738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Candace's Rising Stars19c11,183$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,163.5430826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Shaq's OGs80c8,598$6,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.6111834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Candace's Rising Stars20c8,200$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.4347656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Candace's Rising Stars21c7,788$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.9125833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Shaq's OGs80c6,000$4,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22017546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Shaq's OGs80c3,842$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.0996447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b05…48f2backed Candace's Rising Stars19c2,698$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006330.2%19 W · 44 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Candace's Rising Stars17c2,138$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.481,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Candace's Rising Stars10c2,116$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5520447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Candace's Rising Stars18c2,085$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.318354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Candace's Rising Stars21c2,050$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8bd…dd51backed Candace's Rising Stars1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Shaq's OGs80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ae0…b9c9backed Candace's Rising Stars18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick26cpaid+156.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Candace's Rising Stars28c1,795$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.3780146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a93…ecf9backed Candace's Rising Stars20c1,641$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.211250.9%57 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Candace's Rising Stars19c1,393$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.0310837%40 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Candace's Rising Stars17c1,180$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.459534.7%33 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Candace's Rising Stars19c1,150$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.524549%120 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Candace's Rising Stars18c1,100$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9873051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Candace's Rising Stars19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Shaq's OGs75c939.36$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.8421649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Shaq's OGs80c901.45$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.2963555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Shaq's OGs80c633.04$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6125865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Candace's Rising Stars20c608.9$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7812239.3%48 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x242e…ee63backed Shaq's OGs80c569.5$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.92568%17 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+40.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x831b…eed5backed Candace's Rising Stars19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015742.7%67 W · 90 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Candace's Rising Stars19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010240.2%41 W · 61 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Candace's Rising Stars20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Candace's Rising Stars17c499.95$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9935046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked Candace's Rising Stars20c499.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024329.6%72 W · 171 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Candace's Rising Stars21c476.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035734.5%123 W · 234 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Candace's Rising Stars14c452.79$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.451,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5397…fcf7backed Candace's Rising Stars23c429$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae1e…7c4cbacked Candace's Rising Stars17c428.19$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.327241.7%30 W · 42 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdaa1…4340backed Candace's Rising Stars17c407.21$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.237636.8%28 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Shaq's OGs75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf663…2535backed Shaq's OGs77c375$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.25560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed Shaq's OGs75c345.33$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6120553.7%110 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9069…2b45backed Shaq's OGs80c312.5$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+75.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Candace's Rising Stars17c299.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Shaq's OGs78c291.37$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.336747.7%175 W · 192 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x398b…96edbacked Candace's Rising Stars23c286$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Candace's Rising Stars19c263.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5056352%293 W · 270 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Candace's Rising Stars19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027546.9%129 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Shaq's OGs80c250.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0237627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Candace's Rising Stars21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034551.3%177 W · 168 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c5c…b60dbacked Candace's Rising Stars21c238.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Candace's Rising Stars21c232.52$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.835916.9%10 W · 49 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0717…49f3backed Candace's Rising Stars21c219.05$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+82.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaedb…3de3backed Candace's Rising Stars19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403641.7%15 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x826a…8a45backed Shaq's OGs78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f1…9bd3backed Candace's Rising Stars25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe19…ec9fbacked Shaq's OGs70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa50e…66ebbacked Candace's Rising Stars21c195.91$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.14944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedb9…5433backed Candace's Rising Stars21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402650%13 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc069…80ebbacked Candace's Rising Stars21c177.48$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.273125.8%8 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Candace's Rising Stars18c175$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.531631.6%100 W · 216 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd46c…b32dbacked Candace's Rising Stars21c166.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Candace's Rising Stars9c151.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9737011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7475…4600backed Shaq's OGs80c148.75$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+81.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bca…16bfbacked Candace's Rising Stars21c130.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.54953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee6…eb9bbacked Candace's Rising Stars17c129$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8175…e4b8backed Candace's Rising Stars17c125.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.532123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe408…232bbacked Shaq's OGs70c106.85$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.746847.1%32 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Shaq's OGs77c104$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9295848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Candace's Rising Stars15c102.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3662349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Candace's Rising Stars20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Candace's Rising Stars20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2033638.1%128 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb984…2a41backed Candace's Rising Stars22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210525.7%27 W · 78 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+40%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Candace's Rising Stars21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2165218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Candace's Rising Stars19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.656945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7137…6507backed Candace's Rising Stars11c99.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1117331.2%54 W · 119 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Candace's Rising Stars20c98.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.893041.9%390 W · 540 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2bb…b014backed Shaq's OGs77c96$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.08520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0279…6774backed Candace's Rising Stars21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-71%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bce…3c3abacked Candace's Rising Stars20c91.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x303f…801ebacked Candace's Rising Stars23c86.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Candace's Rising Stars18c81.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.631,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ab…a20ebacked Shaq's OGs77c79$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd07f…6c05backed Candace's Rising Stars19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154025%10 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75b6…8ad0backed Candace's Rising Stars17c78.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2911541.7%48 W · 67 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77ac…3948backed Shaq's OGs77c75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8010…c1ddbacked Shaq's OGs77c70$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49e0…676fbacked Candace's Rising Stars24c63.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154447.7%21 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b46…7c2fbacked Candace's Rising Stars24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedae…34dfbacked Shaq's OGs79c62.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.02714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.46per pick60cpaid-81.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb396…313cbacked Candace's Rising Stars18c60.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.89650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Candace's Rising Stars18c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.815613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197e…9059backed Shaq's OGs79c56.95$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.96683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeee3…157cbacked Shaq's OGs79c56.37$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick63cpaid-58.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3f6…7511backed Shaq's OGs79c54.42$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.43560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa56f…ad0abacked Shaq's OGs79c53.16$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+69.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce60…c504backed Shaq's OGs79c53.15$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-54.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadbb…3da1backed Shaq's OGs79c52.68$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6cf…0c5abacked Candace's Rising Stars25c52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb30c…fc14backed Candace's Rising Stars39c51.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-80.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x596d…1aadbacked Candace's Rising Stars20c51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.