TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Jazz, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$269,599
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$289,227

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,599 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19d8…1691backed Jazz0c45,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4572241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Jazz2c11,600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2468921.3%19 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f6…b703backed Jazz2c8,866$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.98616.6%4 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-80.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f64…5715backed Jazz17c7,050$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.51060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Jazz17c6,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02046131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Jazz16c6,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9640627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8de…e12abacked Jazz17c4,772$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.1837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Jazz16c3,193$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.8465642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz17c3,050$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jazz18c3,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc935…4c02backed Jazz6c2,933$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-36.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Jazz9c2,851$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.8913920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58e6…2c48backed Jazz1c2,605$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.034010%4 W · 36 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-60.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Jazz19c2,508$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.4626235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Jazz1c2,500$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.74573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Jazz17c2,222$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.7436514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz12c2,184$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.323,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jazz22c2,001$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz5c2,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f9…f3babacked Jazz17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x547d…c6e8backed Jazz9c1,977$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1871346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Jazz13c1,859$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.3661532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Jazz17c1,765$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30066744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa667…84febacked Jazz17c1,745$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.691936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Jazz16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.977536%27 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Suns78c1,439$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.5485347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Jazz1c1,391$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9123438.9%91 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7857…6ea6backed Jazz18c1,380$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ce…ac9abacked Jazz18c1,200$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9840%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a07…4769backed Jazz19c1,062$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1994862.5%30 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Jazz18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18022721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c1b…cc3abacked Jazz17c999.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-45.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc660…6e8ebacked Jazz17c886.9$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.771233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jazz18c801.3$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.721,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11b3…f0aabacked Jazz18c800$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d4…8ee4backed Jazz16c748.84$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz5c743.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.21,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Jazz2c710$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.415741.4%65 W · 92 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Jazz17c699.88$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9827735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Jazz19c695.72$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13045135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79f1…a885backed Jazz18c688.89$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Jazz6c682.95$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9849849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x610d…188bbacked Jazz19c673$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1418628%52 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Jazz17c599.89$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9829148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb45…7844backed Jazz17c599.14$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.89757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f0…70aabacked Suns78c572.38$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.8955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Jazz18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014062.9%88 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Jazz18c548.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…1732backed Jazz18c520.89$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.76333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd45…63bfbacked Jazz17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Jazz12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6065218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a8…adcebacked Jazz15c490.9$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7216341.1%67 W · 96 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f90…1b35backed Jazz18c471$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.781338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-41.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Suns80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8035046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Jazz18c370.33$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.662,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Jazz7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2538027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77d7…6547backed Jazz17c343.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.481729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Jazz18c336.21$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.625957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Jazz22c332.12$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6414129.1%41 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5a0b…f974backed Jazz18c318.74$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578146.9%38 W · 43 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz17c318$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.661,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jazz5c305.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.481,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b68…795bbacked Jazz17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011130.6%34 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7524…2149backed Jazz11c289.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312920.7%6 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea1…a2bbbacked Jazz18c284$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.124452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa6…d3eabacked Jazz17c282.35$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-53.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Jazz12c266.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3193036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2400…f2b7backed Jazz20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Jazz17c250$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.564517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dec…c5b2backed Jazz16c240$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.44030%12 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Jazz6c237$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2237831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf259…7592backed Jazz11c233.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.187538.7%29 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Jazz11c221.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5368642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf9c…6b82backed Jazz18c220$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.62236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Jazz17c219.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.414039.3%55 W · 85 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab2…b58abacked Jazz17c217.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Suns80c216.32$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2614438.9%56 W · 88 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Jazz15c200.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030331.4%95 W · 208 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Jazz16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3213611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2856…ed0ebacked Jazz9c200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177022.9%16 W · 54 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb765…e17fbacked Jazz17c182.35$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313762.2%23 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed Jazz17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3035235.2%124 W · 228 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Jazz11c160.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9229043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x025d…1a72backed Jazz13c158.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-66.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27fd…c47fbacked Jazz19c157.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307153.5%38 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb220…51bdbacked Jazz17c154.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.21526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc069…80ebbacked Jazz17c153.31$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.163125.8%8 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Jazz17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550144.7%224 W · 277 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5362…e592backed Jazz31c139$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.181553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Jazz19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516617.5%29 W · 137 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Jazz18c131.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0324549%120 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a81…2731backed Jazz48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x110f…dc0ebacked Suns52c125$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+32.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x818b…8294backed Jazz18c122.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Suns68c121$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7211337.2%42 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa9…39a1backed Jazz11c120$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.848741.9%204 W · 283 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Jazz18c112.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0b…f7adbacked Jazz18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe3…46d1backed Jazz17c110$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-60.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4d…e82bbacked Jazz17c109.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.