NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Jazz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7b89112bcf66643a684eaadd7c1c1733c8b261a5b64439400a9d6cc848e3a76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 425 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Jazz | 0c | 44,000$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…b195backed Jazz | 0c | 20,088$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0137…bf9ebacked Heat | 67c | 8,002$5,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e14…f4dabacked Jazz | 33c | 8,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Jazz | 25c | 6,728$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.56 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Jazz | 37c | 5,334$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Jazz | 41c | 5,170$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.87 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Heat | 58c | 5,005$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.52 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz | 34c | 3,506$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.5 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Heat | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Heat | 67c | 2,988$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.19 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Jazz | 47c | 2,559$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.42 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Jazz | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.86 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Heat | 59c | 2,426$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.14 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Heat | 55c | 2,336$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.42 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 46c | 2,025$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.65 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Jazz | 37c | 2,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Heat | 64c | 1,991$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.92 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Jazz | 50c | 1,943$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.29 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Heat | 61c | 1,918$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.9 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Jazz | 45c | 1,895$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.09 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Heat | 66c | 1,560$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.24 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz | 34c | 1,505$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.7 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Heat | 56c | 1,501$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.26 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…5669backed Heat | 53c | 1,450$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…e891backed Heat | 66c | 1,400$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c59…1862backed Jazz | 33c | 1,400$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Jazz | 45c | 1,379$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.92 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Heat | 61c | 1,364$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.74 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Jazz | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Jazz | 41c | 1,330$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.83 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Heat | 68c | 1,279$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.41 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Heat | 64c | 1,264$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.94 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Jazz | 34c | 1,236$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.33 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Jazz | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Heat | 63c | 1,206$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.4 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7684…4d2dbacked Heat | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.97 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8595…1fb5backed Jazz | 33c | 1,184$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa737…cc88backed Heat | 66c | 1,182$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz | 29c | 1,138$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.35 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b7…f3d9backed Heat | 67c | 1,134$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.33 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x769f…d2c2backed Jazz | 34c | 1,134$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Jazz | 34c | 1,109$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.06 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Heat | 56c | 1,063$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.36 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Heat | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Jazz | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…ff35backed Jazz | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heat | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Jazz | 26c | 971.82$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jazz | 4c | 942$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Heat | 57c | 929.58$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.72 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 60c | 928.85$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.56 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Jazz | 32c | 887.97$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.59 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Jazz | 34c | 818.47$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.93 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Jazz | 33c | 693.95$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8c…eb27backed Jazz | 34c | 665.79$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.37 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…6261backed Heat | 57c | 655.35$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Jazz | 24c | 645$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.25 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Heat | 62c | 637.08$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.84 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Heat | 59c | 628.77$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.31 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed Heat | 60c | 593.77$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.51 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Heat | 56c | 577.41$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.41 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Heat | 55c | 571.65$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.24 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Heat | 53c | 566.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.39 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Heat | 55c | 560.96$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.04 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…6d6cbacked Jazz | 33c | 542.5$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Heat | 59c | 538.97$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.28 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz | 35c | 538.27$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.9 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Heat | 50c | 535.41$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.71 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Heat | 66c | 512.56$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.27 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed Heat | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Jazz | 33c | 499.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Heat | 67c | 498.51$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.51 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7f…8995backed Heat | 74c | 491.37$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.14 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Jazz | 24c | 480$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Heat | 80c | 471.56$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.31 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Jazz | 43c | 416.38$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.15 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Jazz | 18c | 400$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Jazz | 34c | 399.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.39 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Heat | 67c | 394.74$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.26 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Jazz | 26c | 369.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Jazz | 34c | 365.28$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.57 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Jazz | 32c | 364.81$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.74 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…4769backed Heat | 77c | 337.04$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Heat | 66c | 333$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Jazz | 50c | 329.67$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.03 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Jazz | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…cc3abacked Jazz | 33c | 316.28$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.37 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heat | 65c | 312.89$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.17 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz | 27c | 303.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Heat | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…f988backed Heat | 57c | 299.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc697…04e3backed Heat | 57c | 296.3$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.41 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7679…8c3abacked Jazz | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…9642backed Jazz | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 303 | 54.1%164 W · 139 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Jazz | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb765…e17fbacked Heat | 61c | 279.46$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.04 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…efd1backed Heat | 68c | 242.65$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9f…0cdfbacked Heat | 66c | 239.69$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.