TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Pacers, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$278,026
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$289,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,026 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19d8…1691backed Nets0c45,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4572241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe330…1674backed Nets6c20,186$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.131729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets6c11,432$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.173,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58e6…2c48backed Nets0c9,735$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.644010%4 W · 36 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-60.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets17c8,254$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.271,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…25a2backed Nets20c5,750$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Nets19c5,500$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.9746131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11e0…734dbacked Pacers80c3,775$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Nets17c3,261$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.314039.3%55 W · 85 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Nets18c3,094$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5603627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Nets1c3,002$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb09…dd9cbacked Nets23c3,000$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.611127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe8e…e481backed Pacers77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+68.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Nets2c2,547$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.784573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Nets3c2,373$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4361532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets22c2,070$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.5396447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e74…92a4backed Nets22c2,008$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Nets1c2,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…f7d7backed Nets18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3603262.5%20 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+57.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1c31…2ae1backed Pacers80c1,900$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets7c1,815$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.061,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Nets21c1,783$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.7150245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Nets3c1,674$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.61,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Nets18c1,643$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.349250%46 W · 46 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x47da…d492backed Nets18c1,528$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Nets21c1,502$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.1788053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Nets23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.9940627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Nets22c1,333$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.217536%27 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Pacers77c1,168$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.6215558.7%91 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Nets5c1,010$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2515947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Nets20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d73…5693backed Pacers80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nets17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7685…e082backed Nets1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134316.3%7 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+102.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2499…fed3backed Nets6c994.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick22cpaid-32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Nets8c942.16$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8629043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Nets17c850$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2122721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nets17c839.8$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.875,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Pacers80c800$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16011146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Nets20c799.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6459…c926backed Nets5c799.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Nets13c770$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.121723.5%51 W · 166 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nets16c733$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.941,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Nets16c733$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9447948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1026…0b0ebacked Nets20c704$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nets15c662.22$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.331,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Nets18c594.99$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.130440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Nets4c551.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3126235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1340…a94ebacked Nets17c549.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Nets21c548.18$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0875347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe91d…81dfbacked Pacers78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.824573.3%33 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Nets8c500$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3813611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Nets21c499.97$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4929148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Nets17c487.91$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1973051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nets22c454.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Nets16c441.41$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2171747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Pacers80c423.78$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9619452.1%101 W · 93 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb511…01dabacked Pacers80c420.58$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.123663.9%23 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Nets19c400$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7635046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e27…143ebacked Nets16c399.98$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x900d…2961backed Pacers80c389.9$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.983571.4%25 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9d…552abacked Pacers79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.751070%7 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d54…2386backed Pacers80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754456.8%25 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b68…795bbacked Nets17c323.53$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5511130.6%34 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e91…359abacked Pacers79c316.46$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.46757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick73cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba5f…e9babacked Pacers79c303.8$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf27…929ebacked Nets12c299.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362313%3 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-76.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Pacers78c282.79$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2111662.9%73 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd09…4198backed Pacers77c260.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.095862.1%36 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dc9…7c59backed Pacers77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.741668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5277…7d49backed Pacers78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.412669.2%18 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick69cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e12…141ebacked Nets16c253.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010921.1%23 W · 86 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x48a3…2e01backed Pacers79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.161963.2%12 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18e8…1669backed Pacers79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.162263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda5…beefbacked Pacers79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.162365.2%15 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8065…a8afbacked Pacers79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.162365.2%15 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f12…2a77backed Pacers79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.162360.9%14 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b4e…e4e7backed Pacers79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.161963.2%12 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5301…7c92backed Pacers79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.161866.7%12 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb657…16d0backed Pacers79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.162466.7%16 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf03d…a9eebacked Pacers79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.161963.2%12 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf44d…4157backed Pacers79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.161861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick72cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa500…31febacked Pacers79c253.05$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.142665.4%17 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Pacers80c230.92$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.181,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Nets22c219$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9777745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Nets24c209$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.166045%27 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x610d…188bbacked Nets24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018628%52 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb984…2a41backed Nets20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010525.7%27 W · 78 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+40%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e30…ef89backed Nets20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407741.6%32 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Nets19c200$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4685542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Nets24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4885347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b97…bd26backed Pacers80c187.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.52360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Nets17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016825.6%43 W · 125 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc22a…acdbbacked Nets20c172.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Nets18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306030%18 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Nets14c160$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8397.7%3 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Nets7c155.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2414941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48af…15e2backed Nets19c155.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc37c…ba27backed Pacers78c153.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.857338.4%28 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.