NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x774039a837fa64d496f0f356bc211bcf172357993e990698955c784b81571163
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Bulls, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $637,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $695,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $637,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 652 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Bulls | 20c | 105,552$21,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,185.11 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Pacers | 65c | 97,715$63,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,117.21 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Bulls | 34c | 65,001$22,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,358.04 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Bulls | 0c | 22,357$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bulls | 1c | 20,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Bulls | 2c | 12,493$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.36 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fad…171ebacked Pacers | 66c | 12,125$8,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,122.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Bulls | 35c | 11,455$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Bulls | 36c | 11,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…7a9ebacked Bulls | 0c | 10,030$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3a…3021backed Bulls | 34c | 9,355$3,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd566…3e2dbacked Bulls | 1c | 9,246$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Pacers | 66c | 7,385$4,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.21 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Bulls | 11c | 6,982$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.03 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers | 65c | 6,795$4,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,378.59 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pacers | 65c | 6,527$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.36 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Bulls | 32c | 6,006$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.98 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pacers | 66c | 5,890$3,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.7 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pacers | 66c | 5,555$3,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.7 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls | 1c | 4,344$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Bulls | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.89 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Bulls | 13c | 3,956$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.12 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…7f1fbacked Pacers | 70c | 3,880$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.51 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bulls | 2c | 3,814$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Pacers | 65c | 3,500$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 33c | 3,050$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Bulls | 35c | 3,024$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.04 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…43b2backed Bulls | 34c | 2,770$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Pacers | 65c | 2,768$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.38 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Bulls | 33c | 2,764$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.15 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Bulls | 34c | 2,609$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Pacers | 67c | 2,500$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Bulls | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Bulls | 1c | 2,296$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Bulls | 2c | 2,229$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Pacers | 74c | 2,112$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.61 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Pacers | 65c | 2,072$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.3 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Bulls | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…8949backed Bulls | 35c | 1,976$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.46 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Bulls | 12c | 1,762$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.53 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9713…dee9backed Pacers | 65c | 1,759$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…0c87backed Bulls | 25c | 1,749$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.18 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed Bulls | 28c | 1,665$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.45 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…cf42backed Bulls | 37c | 1,631$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcabf…c2d7backed Pacers | 66c | 1,629$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b02…e4e8backed Pacers | 67c | 1,598$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaa…0af8backed Pacers | 66c | 1,540$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…673abacked Bulls | 35c | 1,540$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bulls | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Bulls | 1c | 1,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc744…1922backed Bulls | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…815abacked Pacers | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pacers | 64c | 1,409$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.02 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…9adabacked Pacers | 73c | 1,332$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Bulls | 32c | 1,301$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.66 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…1873backed Bulls | 16c | 1,200$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…9719backed Bulls | 33c | 1,197$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c6…6478backed Pacers | 68c | 1,195$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523b…1d23backed Bulls | 35c | 1,161$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Bulls | 30c | 1,079$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11af…24d7backed Pacers | 68c | 1,029$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Pacers | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pacers | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…8ec8backed Bulls | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfae…30a3backed Bulls | 34c | 998.8$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x933b…22f7backed Bulls | 3c | 980.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc971…d84abacked Bulls | 33c | 969.7$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Pacers | 65c | 862.08$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.73 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…fc9abacked Bulls | 35c | 832.22$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Pacers | 69c | 829.73$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.2 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Pacers | 66c | 804.97$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.69 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Bulls | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…7305backed Pacers | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Bulls | 34c | 796$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.64 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Bulls | 36c | 784.36$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.37 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Bulls | 20c | 740$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Bulls | 34c | 735.26$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Bulls | 32c | 660.87$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.48 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…0ad9backed Bulls | 44c | 649.98$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Bulls | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…9bb9backed Bulls | 24c | 620$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bulls | 33c | 607.39$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.82 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…bfacbacked Bulls | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…c4fbbacked Pacers | 67c | 601.21$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Bulls | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8729…9a8dbacked Bulls | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Pacers | 65c | 577.19$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.02 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Bulls | 7c | 573.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pacers | 68c | 557.46$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.45 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bulls | 36c | 555.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ef…be38backed Pacers | 67c | 553.96$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bulls | 31c | 512.25$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.31 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pacers | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pacers | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Bulls | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Bulls | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Bulls | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Bulls | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pacers | 66c | 464$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.18 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Bulls | 8c | 460.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.