NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eae8024cb103ffcdf1da087cacb0e3280e9f7245abdb05da2dfd34940d21e9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Raptors, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $303,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Raptors | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Raptors | 15c | 25,996$3,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,860.96 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Raptors | 0c | 10,380$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Raptors | 14c | 9,980$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.08 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Raptors | 16c | 8,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.99 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Raptors | 18c | 7,085$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.48 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Raptors | 14c | 6,021$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.65 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 16c | 5,030$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Raptors | 1c | 5,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Raptors | 13c | 4,570$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.66 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 14c | 4,095$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.34 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…d5bfbacked Raptors | 15c | 3,850$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…e077backed Raptors | 14c | 3,656$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Raptors | 16c | 3,500$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.92 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca9…508ebacked Raptors | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…12c4backed Raptors | 16c | 2,967$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed Raptors | 13c | 2,750$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.5 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Raptors | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Raptors | 17c | 2,277$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.03 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Raptors | 7c | 2,043$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c31…2ae1backed Raptors | 15c | 1,895$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Raptors | 7c | 1,841$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Raptors | 9c | 1,769$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.92 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Raptors | 2c | 1,501$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Raptors | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Raptors | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Raptors | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…5d66backed Raptors | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8729…9a8dbacked Raptors | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raptors | 4c | 980.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Raptors | 12c | 853.41$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…808dbacked Raptors | 16c | 750$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd0…f582backed Raptors | 12c | 737.63$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9f…75e9backed Raptors | 15c | 711.07$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Raptors | 16c | 700$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Raptors | 15c | 679.81$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Raptors | 13c | 661$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9937…6202backed Raptors | 16c | 626.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Raptors | 17c | 618$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.66 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Raptors | 14c | 550$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Raptors | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Raptors | 16c | 474.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Raptors | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…68f3backed Raptors | 17c | 365.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Raptors | 14c | 357$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Raptors | 17c | 352.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Raptors | 16c | 351.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raptors | 13c | 345.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2667…4919backed Raptors | 6c | 344.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Raptors | 15c | 344$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Raptors | 14c | 304.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Raptors | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Raptors | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Raptors | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x933b…22f7backed Raptors | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Raptors | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Raptors | 17c | 295.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Raptors | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…00f0backed Raptors | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9f…0cdfbacked Raptors | 15c | 270$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Raptors | 13c | 261$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors | 15c | 228$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Raptors | 16c | 202.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Raptors | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19e…461abacked Raptors | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4905…42f3backed Raptors | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Raptors | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 137 | 59.1%81 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc069…80ebbacked Raptors | 17c | 192.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca01…8008backed Raptors | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…6465backed Raptors | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Raptors | 9c | 174.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Raptors | 15c | 172.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Raptors | 17c | 163.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…61a6backed Raptors | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…4376backed Raptors | 16c | 154.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…0139backed Raptors | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Knicks | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…f988backed Knicks | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…bbd8backed Raptors | 16c | 137.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d73…a285backed Raptors | 17c | 135.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Raptors | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…b58abacked Raptors | 17c | 119.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ed…09fcbacked Raptors | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Raptors | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Raptors | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raptors | 13c | 92.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32a2…1e8abacked Raptors | 15c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e4…17d6backed Raptors | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe571…c268backed Raptors | 17c | 82.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…4769backed Raptors | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dd…afcabacked Raptors | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…3fc8backed Raptors | 15c | 65.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb765…e17fbacked Raptors | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…c252backed Raptors | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…a82cbacked Raptors | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Raptors | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a0…8694backed Raptors | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b5…5b3abacked Raptors | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1353…c390backed Raptors | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313a…6358backed Raptors | 18c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.