TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Raptors, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$528,790
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$587,306

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $528,790 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 509 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x90f6…b703backed Raptors2c46,606$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.88616.6%4 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-80.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9483…39b2backed Pistons64c31,753$20,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,272.926863.2%43 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Raptors31c23,044$7,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,180.2365642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors15c14,473$2,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170.91,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Raptors35c12,090$4,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,276.3277745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Raptors35c9,770$3,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,393.0149849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Raptors22c8,760$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.3970147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Raptors34c8,642$2,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,897.6725138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors21c7,154$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.753,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Raptors18c6,645$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.1111164%71 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2f64…5715backed Pistons65c6,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1001060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Raptors34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb8…e817backed Pistons67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6501533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Pistons64c4,899$3,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.8815763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Raptors34c4,850$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.9962351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…17ddbacked Pistons66c4,406$2,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.997248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ea…2ba7backed Pistons73c4,368$3,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.826563.1%41 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Pistons77c4,257$3,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.331,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors30c4,182$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.191,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53f6…7f1fbacked Pistons67c4,168$2,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.544165.9%27 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c4…5cdcbacked Raptors35c4,160$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.1330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Raptors30c3,979$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.5766744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Raptors21c3,418$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.631,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa84b…5055backed Pistons75c3,333$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.256361.9%39 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Raptors36c3,192$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.4113140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98f7…045fbacked Raptors34c3,183$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pistons66c3,180$2,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.2996447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Pistons79c3,000$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.0230251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d62…476cbacked Pistons66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.991190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.34per pick57cpaid+92.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc8de…e12abacked Raptors33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.99837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Raptors23c2,940$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.3426235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Raptors30c2,621$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.0761532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3e…b656backed Pistons65c2,615$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.385269.2%36 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x236a…9a00backed Raptors36c2,361$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8502437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80eb…5bfcbacked Pistons75c2,330$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.635267.3%35 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Pistons67c2,246$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.9810541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors34c2,050$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.981,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a07…4769backed Pistons67c2,016$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.124862.5%30 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Raptors34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9737954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Raptors31c1,938$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60027041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Raptors35c1,911$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.8729661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac3…3e46backed Raptors35c1,840$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.93425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Raptors33c1,807$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.3534425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21bd…ae93backed Pistons70c1,779$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.6311259.8%67 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Pistons70c1,775$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.5921455.1%118 W · 96 L-1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Raptors34c1,727$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.199250%46 W · 46 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed Pistons72c1,676$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.374949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Raptors33c1,598$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.3111952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ba…40b2backed Pistons66c1,588$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.032100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+117.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Raptors28c1,567$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.1129043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Pistons67c1,393$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.630954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Raptors17c1,385$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.4831935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Raptors23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009739.2%38 W · 59 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Raptors19c1,300$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24736843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Pistons69c1,261$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.145135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x645e…d120backed Pistons66c1,150$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.515341.8%64 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Raptors33c1,066$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.0514941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Raptors35c1,057$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.6747948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7310…ddfdbacked Pistons64c1,015$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.491353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d6…c0f4backed Raptors33c1,010$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.271241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Raptors34c1,006$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.0514039.3%55 W · 85 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Raptors1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Pistons69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.41,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Raptors1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad3f…857ebacked Pistons73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2703333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadf9…294abacked Raptors34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pistons67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1511…6024backed Raptors34c999.93$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0be7…88a1backed Pistons66c977.33$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.293467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Raptors32c918.89$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.0488053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x297e…0bf9backed Raptors33c907.51$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.481127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-47.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Pistons79c886.42$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1534169.5%237 W · 104 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292d…2c8dbacked Raptors32c880.94$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.838946.1%41 W · 48 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba68…ce61backed Raptors26c812$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.129330.1%28 W · 65 L-15.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd211…628bbacked Pistons67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.277060%42 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8b…fc3dbacked Raptors33c733.03$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c59…1862backed Raptors33c723.87$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Pistons63c702$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.7430440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Raptors9c691.51$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4137011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc2…3c8dbacked Raptors29c672.23$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.92771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc697…04e3backed Pistons67c668.84$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.463964.1%25 W · 14 L-0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47be…1141backed Raptors28c665.26$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.09837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea5c…5b0fbacked Raptors38c657.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Pistons80c657.52$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.512657.1%72 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Raptors31c647$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6422955.9%128 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Raptors33c635$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.5523648.7%115 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Pistons75c634.8$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.78921.3%19 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Raptors23c627.78$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.531,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f8…b4bbbacked Raptors30c624.18$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.07837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Pistons67c616.24$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.1339843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198b…3bcabacked Pistons65c614.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.992661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1d…8929backed Pistons66c600$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2043100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Raptors24c600$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14418632.8%61 W · 125 L-12.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Pistons65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21029148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Pistons67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.0114062.9%88 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5147…4b7fbacked Raptors28c588.09$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Pistons71c545.09$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.0463555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea1…a2bbbacked Pistons66c525$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.54452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaafb…3027backed Pistons67c520.35$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.355764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Pistons72c515$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5826547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.