NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe42150da8b0832a63d1586e74273ed55b4e578686e39b4fd0e749e63f5cc5b70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $328,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $369,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Wizards | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 5c | 15,611$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.95 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2293…328fbacked Wizards | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…6340backed Wizards | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Wizards | 1c | 10,869$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 16c | 8,399$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.91 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Wizards | 3c | 7,919$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.01 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Wizards | 3c | 7,779$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.4 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Wizards | 7c | 7,160$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.81 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 16c | 6,477$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Wizards | 8c | 6,309$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.48 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 9c | 6,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.98 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wizards | 1c | 5,632$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Wizards | 6c | 4,500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 3c | 4,000$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Wizards | 0c | 3,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Wizards | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.95 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Wizards | 4c | 2,914$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.96 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 3c | 2,885$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…4e11backed Wizards | 17c | 2,300$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Wizards | 4c | 2,257$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Wizards | 19c | 2,153$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.49 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745b…90f4backed Wizards | 15c | 1,901$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…4350backed Wizards | 16c | 1,715$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 61cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Wizards | 1c | 1,219$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Wizards | 16c | 1,120$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.14 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc069…80ebbacked Wizards | 17c | 1,090$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.02 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wizards | 16c | 1,087$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.38 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Wizards | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Wizards | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Wizards | 6c | 958.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f64…326cbacked Wizards | 17c | 882.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Wizards | 15c | 837.27$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.23 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Wizards | 15c | 801.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.29 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Wizards | 4c | 800$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c89…9044backed Wizards | 17c | 800$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 6c | 749.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Wizards | 18c | 694.44$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Wizards | 14c | 691.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Wizards | 15c | 631.2$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 7c | 624.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Wizards | 17c | 599.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Wizards | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64a…2fa2backed Wizards | 5c | 553.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 156 | 40.4%63 W · 93 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Wizards | 7c | 550.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Wizards | 2c | 549.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…539cbacked Wizards | 17c | 528$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c24…c7e1backed Wizards | 17c | 494.12$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7679…8c3abacked Wizards | 10c | 400.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a5…4366backed Wizards | 4c | 368$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Wizards | 9c | 356.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc573…e1d4backed Wizards | 18c | 355.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Wizards | 16c | 309$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8529…b973backed Wizards | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Wizards | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…029cbacked Wizards | 17c | 264.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Wizards | 16c | 256.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Wizards | 14c | 237.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wizards | 14c | 237.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…f386backed Wizards | 17c | 220$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2747…cf42backed Wizards | 5c | 217$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…2543backed Wizards | 17c | 212.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Wizards | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19e…461abacked Wizards | 17c | 199.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8c…6c8ebacked Wizards | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Wizards | 9c | 183.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Wizards | 17c | 176.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…c759backed Wizards | 16c | 175$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wizards | 6c | 168.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…e913backed Wizards | 17c | 165$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Wizards | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Wizards | 17c | 147.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f37…b248backed Wizards | 17c | 146.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Wizards | 17c | 135$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe028…9470backed Wizards | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Suns | 80c | 124.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…b2a4backed Wizards | 17c | 123.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Wizards | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Wizards | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3c…487ebacked Wizards | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…7422backed Wizards | 18c | 110.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…56b2backed Wizards | 12c | 108.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…15e2backed Wizards | 15c | 108.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20fa…5ed9backed Wizards | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Wizards | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…28b8backed Wizards | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa2…0c22backed Wizards | 17c | 91.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Wizards | 15c | 84.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…3c9cbacked Wizards | 18c | 83.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…9564backed Wizards | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d8…e94cbacked Wizards | 18c | 78.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…dbf0backed Wizards | 15c | 77.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54d3…e7e2backed Wizards | 18c | 62.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc39e…fc34backed Wizards | 18c | 61.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6002…26e4backed Wizards | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.