NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Wizards

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39031cda4481b0f89a320e15569a1ee0b2f6ba2892221534a3e5f08093964682

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Rocketsof Rockets, Wizards
Resolved: Jan 7, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $539,801
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $511,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $539,801 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa55f…c3d6backed Wizards	1c	61,213$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.59	59	35.6%21 W · 38 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Wizards	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	722	41.4%299 W · 423 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Wizards	33c	22,152$7,362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,362.45	89	21.3%19 W · 70 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Rockets	78c	19,164$15,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,156.44	118	42.4%50 W · 68 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Wizards	13c	14,961$1,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,997.78	92	50%46 W · 46 L	+10.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea2c…b94dbacked Wizards	3c	11,094$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.85	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+74.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	12c	10,112$1,244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,243.97	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Wizards	13c	10,076$1,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,309.86	461	31%143 W · 318 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Wizards	13c	9,424$1,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,211.57	723	41.2%298 W · 425 L	+23.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0d9…ad02backed Wizards	10c	9,113$937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$936.95	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	63cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77cf…9d82backed Wizards	18c	7,089$1,276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,275.96	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Wizards	17c	6,587$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120.46	656	42.5%279 W · 377 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb8…e817backed Wizards	6c	5,488$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.3	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Wizards	20c	5,000$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.98	406	27.8%113 W · 293 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked Rockets	80c	4,609$3,687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$921.79	98	68.4%67 W · 31 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa683…b03bbacked Wizards	13c	4,200$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Wizards	14c	4,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	1,290	44%567 W · 723 L	+35.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Wizards	14c	3,914$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.75	171	41.5%71 W · 100 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3c…502dbacked Wizards	13c	3,875$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.57	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Wizards	2c	3,363$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.69	1,035	1.1%11 W · 1,024 L	-24.4wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-90.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards	0c	3,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1,277	2.3%29 W · 1,248 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Wizards	12c	3,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	200	47%94 W · 106 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Rockets	75c	2,885$2,177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$707.6	686	42.1%289 W · 397 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Wizards	18c	2,849$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.76	62	29%18 W · 44 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	0%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Wizards	14c	2,652$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.14	615	32.2%198 W · 417 L	-21.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Wizards	12c	2,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Wizards	20c	2,423$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	451	35%158 W · 293 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cf…1db8backed Wizards	13c	2,403$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.39	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.31per pick	51cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Wizards	14c	2,019$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.35	502	45.8%230 W · 272 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Wizards	1c	2,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2499…fed3backed Wizards	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Wizards	17c	1,934$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.14	880	53.8%473 W · 407 L	+52.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards	12c	1,865$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.73	1,164	49.6%577 W · 587 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…07d4backed Wizards	32c	1,852$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1035…cc97backed Wizards	18c	1,584$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.16	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Wizards	12c	1,522$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.67	75	36%27 W · 48 L	+6.4wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Wizards	1c	1,499$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.25	750	2%15 W · 735 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards	4c	1,392$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.68	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Wizards	14c	1,386$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.11	279	39.8%111 W · 168 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f51…2019backed Wizards	6c	1,376$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.83	178	53.9%96 W · 82 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48d3…5d66backed Wizards	15c	1,370$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.57	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Wizards	32c	1,271$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.84	193	50.3%97 W · 96 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards	12c	1,252$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.43	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x212a…1873backed Wizards	18c	1,200$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Wizards	16c	1,096$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.29	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Wizards	14c	1,071$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	166	17.5%29 W · 137 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Wizards	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	227	21.6%49 W · 178 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Wizards	13c	999.98$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	133	41.4%55 W · 78 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Wizards	20c	987.2$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,888	37.3%704 W · 1,184 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Wizards	13c	900$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	140	39.3%55 W · 85 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rockets	78c	895$702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.15	1,198	46.8%561 W · 637 L	-7.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x236a…9a00backed Wizards	15c	866.67$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8c…e69dbacked Wizards	12c	840$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Wizards	1c	759$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.32	550	2.5%14 W · 536 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards	14c	746.25$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.38	1,316	50.5%664 W · 652 L	+42.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Wizards	2c	716.67$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	930	36.5%339 W · 591 L	-20.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Wizards	4c	699.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	136	11.8%16 W · 120 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+41.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Rockets	79c	689.63$547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.05	194	51.5%100 W · 94 L	-17.8wins	-0.09per pick	61cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f16…b561backed Wizards	24c	679.78$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.19	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.29per pick	66cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb586…7f97backed Wizards	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Wizards	22c	654.49$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.99	481	37.2%179 W · 302 L	-15.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Wizards	9c	639.82$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.24	149	41.6%62 W · 87 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Wizards	13c	620$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.6	304	40.5%123 W · 181 L	+12.4wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Rockets	75c	596.49$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.49	280	58.2%163 W · 117 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Rockets	69c	581.84$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.84	65	60%39 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Wizards	18c	555.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.01	380	27.1%103 W · 277 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf837…0f45backed Rockets	78c	509.81$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.81	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Wizards	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	319	35.1%112 W · 207 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0964…d727backed Rockets	79c	500$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23b1…8e10backed Rockets	76c	500$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	89	37.1%33 W · 56 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedfc…d781backed Wizards	14c	499.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Wizards	14c	499.93$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.99	291	48.8%142 W · 149 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ed…00f0backed Wizards	15c	486.82$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.02	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Wizards	14c	466.99$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.97	118	34.7%41 W · 77 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Wizards	13c	461.95$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.05	479	48%230 W · 249 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Wizards	14c	428.57$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	364	23.4%85 W · 279 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Wizards	14c	422.96$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.22	269	33.5%90 W · 179 L	-12.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d4…6f09backed Wizards	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+3.9wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ceb…0c87backed Rockets	65c	407.18$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.51	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Wizards	11c	399.95$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.5	266	40.2%107 W · 159 L	+13.7wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Rockets	73c	385.16$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.99	367	47.7%175 W · 192 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wizards	16c	379.57$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.18	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x091a…09f1backed Wizards	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.22per pick	38cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfac8…7a9ebacked Rockets	77c	342.18$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.18	92	42.4%39 W · 53 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Wizards	14c	323.77$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.66	717	47.6%341 W · 376 L	+18.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ed4…70f0backed Wizards	19c	312.15$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.23	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6459…c926backed Wizards	11c	310.08$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.11	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Wizards	12c	306.65$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.24	365	14.2%52 W · 313 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ef4…7ffbbacked Wizards	14c	300$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+298.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6274…f988backed Rockets	80c	300$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	-5.9wins	-0.10per pick	65cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Wizards	16c	283.33$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	277	35.4%98 W · 179 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Wizards	17c	280.2$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.63	217	23.5%51 W · 166 L	+9.6wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+75.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf27…929ebacked Wizards	8c	269.55$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.56	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-4.6wins	-0.20per pick	33cpaid	-76.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcec7…c67fbacked Rockets	78c	257.09$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.09	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.28per pick	52cpaid	+57.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Wizards	15c	249.98$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	730	51.8%378 W · 352 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c9f…0cdfbacked Wizards	13c	245.96$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.7	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c24…54fcbacked Wizards	14c	214.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f9e…e992backed Wizards	24c	211.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.9wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd6e0…8412backed Wizards	16c	200.1$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.95	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb09…dd9cbacked Wizards	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Rockets vs. Wizards

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market