NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82c84b24b445a3b1390c0687778f03d26720038e4d43ff41a24808d2b5f8c809
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Canadiens, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c5f…5eb7backed Capitals | 66c | 129,000$85,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2172…40eebacked Canadiens | 34c | 129,000$43,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,140 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…5a88backed Canadiens | 35c | 10,052$3,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,533.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…52dcbacked Capitals | 65c | 10,026$6,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,517 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Capitals | 67c | 2,972$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Canadiens | 33c | 2,574$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.45 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Canadiens | 48c | 2,515$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.3 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Canadiens | 48c | 2,326$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.85 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Capitals | 48c | 2,085$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens | 33c | 2,067$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.02 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…5715backed Capitals | 67c | 1,700$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c4…5cdcbacked Canadiens | 33c | 1,482$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +190.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 69c | 1,000$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.16 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Canadiens | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Capitals | 37c | 870.01$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.9 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Canadiens | 35c | 808$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 68c | 750$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.53 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Capitals | 66c | 702.91$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.92 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…650bbacked Capitals | 66c | 700$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3c…65bdbacked Canadiens | 34c | 700$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Canadiens | 32c | 685.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.47 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Capitals | 5c | 626$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Capitals | 61c | 546.77$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Capitals | 67c | 533.36$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Capitals | 42c | 473.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.05 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…3b85backed Canadiens | 39c | 450.27$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.17 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Capitals | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Capitals | 67c | 446.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e73…30b3backed Capitals | 67c | 414.19$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Canadiens | 33c | 399.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.99 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Capitals | 65c | 382.05$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Canadiens | 33c | 341.47$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.15 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 33c | 299.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.53 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4f…5aa3backed Canadiens | 35c | 212.66$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Canadiens | 49c | 207.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.64 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Canadiens | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Capitals | 39c | 199.82$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Canadiens | 32c | 177$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.36 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Canadiens | 12c | 175.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.86 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7684…4d2dbacked Capitals | 42c | 166.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfae…00e4backed Capitals | 61c | 162.73$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Capitals | 71c | 159.65$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Canadiens | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…a71cbacked Canadiens | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Canadiens | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f55…2cd0backed Capitals | 66c | 143.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd315…3edfbacked Canadiens | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +109%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35c5…e14bbacked Canadiens | 28c | 142.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Canadiens | 33c | 132.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.12 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…2f6fbacked Canadiens | 35c | 125.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Canadiens | 32c | 122.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.03 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Capitals | 65c | 117.57$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…6584backed Capitals | 67c | 104.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Capitals | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Canadiens | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Canadiens | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Capitals | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Capitals | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Canadiens | 33c | 99.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Canadiens | 61c | 89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…a266backed Capitals | 66c | 86.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed6e…6040backed Canadiens | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Canadiens | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Canadiens | 40c | 81.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Capitals | 67c | 76.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Capitals | 63c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe69b…39a4backed Capitals | 67c | 74.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Capitals | 65c | 73.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b921backed Canadiens | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +178.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…d3c4backed Capitals | 67c | 71.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88da…1027backed Canadiens | 35c | 69.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd174…ebdfbacked Capitals | 67c | 67.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1241…c496backed Capitals | 66c | 65.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0b2bbacked Canadiens | 35c | 65.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3785…5c5fbacked Canadiens | 67c | 60.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c3…61ebbacked Capitals | 65c | 59.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Capitals | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Capitals | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0964…d727backed Capitals | 65c | 59.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Canadiens | 34c | 58.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc862…3fb2backed Canadiens | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3278…f9afbacked Canadiens | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…c372backed Capitals | 66c | 54.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…717dbacked Capitals | 60c | 53.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Canadiens | 62c | 53.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52c7…b836backed Canadiens | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169c…9516backed Canadiens | 35c | 52.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6657…a414backed Canadiens | 29c | 51.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Canadiens | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Capitals | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Capitals | 67c | 46.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d3…ffe9backed Capitals | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…eac3backed Capitals | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88e0…2e9fbacked Capitals | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…6a63backed Capitals | 67c | 42.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4e…2a3abacked Capitals | 73c | 40.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…460abacked Canadiens | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3d…f363backed Capitals | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.