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NHL · resolved market

Sabres vs. Golden Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Sabres, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,394
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,394 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99c2…ef35backed Sabres4c3,456$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2414949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sabres11c2,692$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.271,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Sabres1c2,250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+156.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Sabres1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Sabres35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9231849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Sabres35c1,329$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.935545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres34c1,305$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.611,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Sabres6c1,263$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7131334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Golden Knights65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3401,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights65c999.89$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.461,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Golden Knights65c575.49$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.423850%19 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Golden Knights66c500$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9213361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Sabres34c485.85$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.1929847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71c3…61ebbacked Golden Knights65c385$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.751353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Golden Knights66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0324347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fd…7ae6backed Golden Knights65c290$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.55750.9%29 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sabres33c263.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4279251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Sabres33c263.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4241851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sabres8c262.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9391334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Sabres33c255.47$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5647249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Sabres8c241.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.587450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Golden Knights66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2712955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffa5…6343backed Sabres36c219.53$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Sabres36c204.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7172444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Sabres12c169.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014012.9%18 W · 122 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b97…bd26backed Sabres26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402050%10 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Golden Knights66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522544%11 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Sabres34c137.2$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6548654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35fc…db55backed Golden Knights65c115.38$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.381353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe327…ec05backed Golden Knights67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b60…4007backed Golden Knights67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334663%29 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Golden Knights65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3550049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Golden Knights65c99.97$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9973157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Golden Knights66c90.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9170249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Golden Knights67c89.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5524945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c8e…fba1backed Golden Knights71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95bb…6566backed Golden Knights66c78.28$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Golden Knights65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9219852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Golden Knights65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9213562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x023d…82f1backed Golden Knights66c71.39$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.277100%7 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Sabres25c69.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.36137.7%23 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52cb…4d2bbacked Golden Knights65c67.23$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Golden Knights65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5419057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed Golden Knights66c53.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.036959.4%41 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe89d…b80ebacked Golden Knights64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.883554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa46e…28debacked Golden Knights67c43.28$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.28666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49e0…676fbacked Sabres35c42.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba40…b7b7backed Golden Knights66c42.42$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.422060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Sabres34c40.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5158346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe973…7005backed Golden Knights66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.774146.3%19 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Sabres35c39.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1462944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ee…f98ebacked Sabres36c37.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.39757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf750…4e8cbacked Golden Knights64c37.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2473…a7babacked Sabres36c36.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56cc…1b16backed Sabres36c36.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4718…49d4backed Golden Knights64c35.79$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa55…a7febacked Golden Knights64c33.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38d8…49d4backed Sabres36c33.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ea…d963backed Golden Knights64c33.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4017…2d67backed Golden Knights64c33.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.15425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55db…37c9backed Sabres36c33.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.03425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Golden Knights65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7712369.9%86 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a15…eac3backed Golden Knights65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.777659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6827…cc74backed Sabres37c30.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa97f…eb2bbacked Sabres35c30.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.73520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8247…714dbacked Golden Knights66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fd4…17c9backed Sabres36c30.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde6e…a2c7backed Sabres36c30.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…dee5backed Golden Knights65c29.89$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa04d…c775backed Golden Knights66c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.165470.4%38 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0e6…3ea5backed Golden Knights66c29.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ca4…3d4abacked Sabres35c29.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5d8…6e87backed Golden Knights66c28.45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…d1d6backed Golden Knights64c27.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.04650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5609…e8cdbacked Golden Knights64c25.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc59b…ff3abacked Golden Knights66c25.31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d4…3939backed Golden Knights64c25.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.09475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8e…ae49backed Golden Knights65c25.14$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82b8…58bbbacked Golden Knights66c25.05$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.51580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+55.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1837…0c52backed Golden Knights64c24.94$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeac4…e76bbacked Golden Knights65c24.74$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b3…3d1fbacked Golden Knights65c24.48$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcdc…0536backed Golden Knights66c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.16580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5f…85a9backed Golden Knights66c23.76$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc47d…ad67backed Golden Knights65c23.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.26450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b2…27c4backed Golden Knights66c23.56$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18f9…5d32backed Golden Knights65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.085453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21a6…d978backed Golden Knights64c21.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9146…342bbacked Golden Knights65c21.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.453100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+87.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4af3…e4e0backed Golden Knights65c21.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x395e…3d01backed Golden Knights66c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc1b…fd72backed Golden Knights64c20.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd8a…4146backed Golden Knights72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bc…eb52backed Golden Knights66c19.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.57425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4990…1986backed Golden Knights64c17.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.35666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ee…bd8fbacked Golden Knights66c17.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa815…c0cdbacked Golden Knights65c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.952842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-21.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b20…a8fbbacked Golden Knights66c16.8$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2379…acaabacked Golden Knights65c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.