TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flyers vs. Golden Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Flyers, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,549 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed Flyers15c6,001$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.641,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers0c4,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.071,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Flyers37c2,284$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.5835545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Flyers42c1,781$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.1331334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Flyers34c1,748$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.3631849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x589e…c63ebacked Golden Knights66c1,520$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.194271.4%30 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x73b7…9360backed Golden Knights53c1,189$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.951258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0304…dcc7backed Flyers34c1,075$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.332347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Golden Knights47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.3485148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights66c1,000$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3451,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Flyers52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Flyers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e0…d485backed Golden Knights48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5202630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88c9…3734backed Golden Knights65c829.26$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.241050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0a…8ca0backed Flyers37c820.28$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.661650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21fc…f3d2backed Golden Knights65c770.26$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.26862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers35c727.04$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.11,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Golden Knights68c616.57$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.5724945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Flyers35c549.91$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4729847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights65c499.95$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.981,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flyers6c420.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4691334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Golden Knights51c398.57$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.312955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea27…8a0bbacked Golden Knights66c340.5$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.775347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Flyers35c338.01$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9741851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Golden Knights66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10213361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf689…8b15backed Golden Knights64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fd…7ae6backed Golden Knights66c295$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.35750.9%29 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9a07…7768backed Flyers36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20fa…5ed9backed Flyers36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Golden Knights50c277.04$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0419438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5203…28b8backed Golden Knights65c276.92$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.922050%10 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers36c255$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1772444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Flyers35c223.77$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1947249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fdd…0661backed Flyers35c209.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.51050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Golden Knights49c206.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0720540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Flyers35c200.01$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Golden Knights65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7050049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…8b1dbacked Golden Knights65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Golden Knights64c199.98$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9913953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Flyers34c163.84$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0984051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Golden Knights64c159.73$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.513241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Golden Knights65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.859861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Golden Knights66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5213562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Flyers35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.57660.5%46 W · 30 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+26.2%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x71c3…61ebbacked Golden Knights66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Flyers52c143.21$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.343,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aea…abf1backed Golden Knights59c126.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.282161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Flyers35c105.56$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0348654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Flyers34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3481846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc4ae…36ddbacked Golden Knights66c94.47$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.251546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9523…7174backed Flyers36c77.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfac8…7a9ebacked Golden Knights65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.925143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Golden Knights65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.929547.4%45 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Golden Knights65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9219852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc95…ad57backed Flyers36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Golden Knights66c68.61$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6119057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5655…735ebacked Flyers36c66.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Golden Knights52c66.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1913846.4%64 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b4…82dfbacked Flyers34c57.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x611b…f45fbacked Flyers36c55.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x278b…767cbacked Golden Knights64c54.68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.68450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba40…26d4backed Golden Knights64c53.12$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.124100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+66.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ffd…8f25backed Golden Knights65c51.58$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.05475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc248…4c0abacked Golden Knights64c51.56$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c0c…3c23backed Golden Knights65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dc5…697abacked Flyers35c45.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.950%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe89d…b80ebacked Golden Knights66c45.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.73554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7399…1e41backed Flyers35c45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.751861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+52.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa4d…2095backed Golden Knights64c43.75$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b6…ca43backed Golden Knights64c42.19$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2474…4957backed Golden Knights66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.66168.9%42 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1984…241ebacked Golden Knights65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.468445.2%38 W · 46 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf81e…ab79backed Golden Knights66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.882060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd708…f4d3backed Golden Knights65c37.59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.154100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ae9…b45cbacked Golden Knights64c36.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06f2…0c54backed Flyers36c36.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.13757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd540…f263backed Flyers35c36.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb656…36fdbacked Flyers34c36.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7044…6d48backed Golden Knights65c35.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3be9…8d04backed Golden Knights64c35.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x980f…3fe7backed Flyers35c34.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1efc…d21bbacked Flyers35c33.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22f2…55eebacked Golden Knights65c33.7$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85ed…6b19backed Flyers34c33.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x564b…cddbbacked Golden Knights66c33.23$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7d…c917backed Flyers34c33.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5766…3c08backed Golden Knights64c32.81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.81560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f01…658bbacked Golden Knights66c32.58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e98…a845backed Golden Knights65c32.13$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.24633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-46.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf0a…756bbacked Golden Knights65c32.09$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa022…1f0cbacked Flyers34c32.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a61…c7c0backed Golden Knights65c31.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x514e…218abacked Flyers35c31.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea8f…1d9cbacked Flyers34c31.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.71450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Golden Knights65c30.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7612369.9%86 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9f3…6475backed Flyers36c30.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Flyers45c30.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7662944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a15…eac3backed Golden Knights66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.37659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x430c…7eaebacked Flyers35c30.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d0…74ecbacked Golden Knights65c30.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.