TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Spurs, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$545,142
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$589,118

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $545,142 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 675 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x824c…d2bbbacked Spurs37c55,054$20,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,3504238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0902…7752backed Spurs0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs12c18,522$2,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,157.593,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Spurs7c12,338$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.5826235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Bucks64c12,125$7,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,342.921,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Spurs20c10,415$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,036.7966744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bucks63c10,217$6,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,738.21,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Bucks63c8,454$5,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,128.1620047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Spurs7c8,054$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.2319152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Bucks63c7,994$5,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,926.4277745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Spurs28c7,259$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00015558.7%91 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Bucks63c6,943$4,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,568.954654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Spurs35c6,176$2,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,177.669250%46 W · 46 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Spurs27c6,175$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.516229%18 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Bucks66c5,991$3,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.1662351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Spurs8c5,423$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.5534425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs29c5,337$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.571,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Bucks65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.3815551%79 W · 76 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4205…46a7backed Bucks69c4,331$2,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.664158.5%24 W · 17 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+47.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Spurs3c4,250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13542434.4%146 W · 278 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e3c…11d0backed Bucks63c3,922$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.41540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bucks65c3,914$2,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.9750245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Bucks60c3,879$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.879952.5%52 W · 47 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Spurs1c3,750$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Spurs23c3,739$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.2317141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Bucks63c3,500$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.9237954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Spurs14c3,385$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.5219452.1%101 W · 93 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Spurs38c3,229$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.9137448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Spurs35c3,227$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.356253.2%33 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Bucks63c2,830$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.17347.9%35 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs39c2,716$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.261,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Spurs28c2,556$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.4761532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Spurs39c2,555$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.4511842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Spurs3c2,521$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.811,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Spurs33c2,520$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.6346131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Spurs35c2,500$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87536843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d15…c6f8backed Spurs2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Spurs7c2,493$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.238337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Spurs16c2,201$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.0139843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Spurs5c2,192$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.67354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Spurs31c2,119$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.9720248%97 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8258…f208backed Bucks65c2,112$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.277032.9%23 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba27…e104backed Spurs7c2,089$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Spurs1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc32…78e9backed Bucks67c1,800$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d6…f16dbacked Spurs34c1,800$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Bucks60c1,779$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.4615741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x292d…2c8dbacked Bucks65c1,697$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.228946.1%41 W · 48 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x906b…fd3cbacked Bucks61c1,666$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.577450%37 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Spurs32c1,616$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.4530443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Bucks64c1,500$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.9875347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ea…2ba7backed Bucks75c1,441$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.376563.1%41 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fdb…da27backed Bucks71c1,428$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Spurs28c1,337$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.111,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Spurs23c1,293$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4315947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe1a…2c0ebacked Bucks64c1,281$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.161450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+69.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Spurs31c1,281$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40027939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba02…e42bbacked Spurs36c1,280$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.721668.8%11 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.31per pick38cpaid+104.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Spurs36c1,232$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.0247229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Bucks69c1,207$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.1725939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Bucks72c1,100$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.8830251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…8ec8backed Spurs38c1,089$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.981844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7797…dff4backed Spurs39c1,007$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.83633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-46.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Spurs1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa501…9f0fbacked Bucks63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3704526.7%12 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-44%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Bucks64c1,000$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35529148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Bucks67c999.99$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.351,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bucks63c999.99$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc835…9525backed Spurs31c977.67$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.68850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Spurs36c974.36$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7684…4d2dbacked Bucks61c930$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.77100%7 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+76.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb8a3…cad5backed Spurs38c929.62$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Spurs30c876.24$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.4149849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Spurs21c870.1$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.8729043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe41…af5abacked Bucks61c816.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.29988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick63cpaid+41.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Spurs37c810$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.751037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Bucks76c800.1$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.9229661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Spurs37c800$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2961,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0280…7305backed Bucks60c800$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3204250%21 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked Bucks71c782.03$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.033860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d7b…d15ebacked Bucks64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.257558.7%44 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Spurs37c780.91$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.9411834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Bucks64c775.01$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.7973051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Spurs35c716.52$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.7831935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08a8…adcebacked Spurs37c709.98$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.5416341.1%67 W · 96 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1668…c545backed Spurs37c707.81$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603941%16 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb984…2a41backed Spurs5c700$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710525.7%27 W · 78 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+40%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Spurs7c700$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4947535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a07…4769backed Bucks57c684.14$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.184862.5%30 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Bucks63c660.92$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.5430440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Spurs37c608.58$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.827735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec35…3c89backed Spurs5c606.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.651827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa728…5a45backed Spurs45c564.6$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-40%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Bucks68c561.97$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5225957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Spurs36c556.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b6d…6c66backed Bucks61c553.14$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.33759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…2f5fbacked Bucks63c538.11$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.12050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47be…1141backed Bucks62c524.35$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.25837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Spurs7c515$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0537831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Bucks65c500.85$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.0528657.3%164 W · 122 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.