TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. 76ers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Bucks, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$256,304
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$288,944

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,304 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x41b7…f6babacked 76ers40c11,480$4,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,605.680146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcabd…4da5backed 76ers15c10,025$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbe0c…d0c0backed 76ers15c10,010$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc95…8533backed 76ers15c10,002$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers15c9,500$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4251,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed 76ers14c8,138$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.4177745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked 76ers24c7,967$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,911.3215741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked 76ers14c7,328$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.4146131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Bucks76c7,063$5,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.781,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked 76ers13c6,016$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.0830351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked 76ers0c5,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.753350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed 76ers9c5,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks58c4,780$2,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.61,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed 76ers9c4,074$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38110533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed 76ers15c4,037$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.0446342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed 76ers14c4,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5608827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed 76ers4c3,818$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.126744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked 76ers13c3,786$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.0496447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Bucks65c3,630$2,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.9129957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked 76ers14c3,454$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.5625845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked 76ers14c3,003$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.4117047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed 76ers14c3,000$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.211,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed 76ers24c2,657$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.735,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed 76ers15c2,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37540627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed 76ers19c2,391$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.861,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed 76ers15c2,292$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.837734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb34d…ef8bbacked Bucks78c2,251$1,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.641752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed 76ers1c2,150$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa1…591abacked Bucks74c1,720$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.26450%32 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed 76ers4c1,590$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.451434.9%7 W · 136 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Bucks78c1,535$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.0988053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked 76ers20c1,452$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.7736247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed 76ers27c1,451$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.5828347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca34…8cb1backed 76ers22c1,381$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011140.5%45 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked 76ers5c1,225$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Bucks69c1,202$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.758962.9%56 W · 33 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3a0…f8aabacked 76ers14c1,089$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.42437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked 76ers14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed 76ers14c1,013$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7561345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed 76ers15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed 76ers14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14050453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6760…2e12backed 76ers14c996$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.44825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid+65.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed 76ers19c790.41$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5447229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed 76ers20c780.1$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.822049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 76ers43c747.89$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32026934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers13c689.66$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.661,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed 76ers15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006429.7%19 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked 76ers14c625.52$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3912938%49 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked 76ers14c600$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8445743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d80…219abacked Bucks75c586.67$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.677851.3%40 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb43c…d43bbacked Bucks80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013043.1%56 W · 74 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked 76ers15c499.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9833348.9%163 W · 170 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked 76ers17c497.49$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.661,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2efa…6a09backed 76ers16c462.5$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7414546.9%68 W · 77 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked 76ers14c410.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0570640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed 76ers18c400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7295848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked 76ers10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022939.7%91 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b2…e55abacked 76ers16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked 76ers20c388.79$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7971747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9827…e5ffbacked 76ers16c378.13$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603050%15 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x095c…889bbacked 76ers14c372.68$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5412851.6%66 W · 62 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x433b…58debacked 76ers17c350$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615726.3%15 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa88f…208fbacked 76ers14c349.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494420.5%9 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked 76ers15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033638.1%128 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed 76ers15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023555.3%130 W · 105 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed 76ers16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed 76ers14c299.97$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4340726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x333f…4da2backed 76ers17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014738.8%57 W · 90 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Bucks79c275$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5917256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50bc…61acbacked 76ers15c273.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…80dabacked 76ers15c256.53$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.484146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed 76ers22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.615613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x649c…6e4fbacked 76ers8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202015%3 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-66.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x485d…5907backed 76ers15c206.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3114851.4%76 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a03…0be5backed 76ers15c200.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed 76ers27c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.939843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed 76ers20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013138.9%51 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeded…e8e4backed 76ers16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013035.4%46 W · 84 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Bucks72c180$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.458754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked 76ers14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2589353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68f7…5e86backed Bucks65c173.58$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.75333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed 76ers23c173.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9236423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked 76ers15c158.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8126933.5%90 W · 179 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x683d…ed3fbacked 76ers16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512144.6%54 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad5…8328backed 76ers17c150.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513441%55 W · 79 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3d…82c7backed 76ers22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Bucks70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4510925.7%28 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Bucks77c150$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3535165.2%229 W · 122 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6984…1b67backed 76ers15c149.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.474647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed 76ers22c140.16$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8448046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85ed…58a1backed Bucks76c131.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.173237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11d0…6ed6backed 76ers15c130.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.564854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7685…482cbacked Bucks77c128.75$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6122950.7%116 W · 113 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed 76ers14c120$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.85236.5%19 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed 76ers13c119.79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7767911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed 76ers14c119.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6687647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked 76ers18c110.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2063445.1%286 W · 348 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed 76ers19c105$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019038.4%73 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed 76ers15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1571823.3%167 W · 551 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc875…70f0backed 76ers15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152240.9%9 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.