TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Nets, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$342,690
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$368,848

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,690 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 450 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2317…c891backed Nets38c114,748$43,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,907.7911842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Raptors60c52,152$31,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,073.5770147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Raptors72c28,763$20,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,191.6511459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Raptors54c17,896$9,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,309.969646.9%45 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Nets46c13,641$6,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,275.029952.5%52 W · 47 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Raptors71c13,146$9,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,871.8713140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Raptors74c8,323$6,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.4629738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Raptors57c8,263$4,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,575.0219350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Raptors63c6,724$4,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,462.4149849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ee…a079backed Nets48c6,576$3,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,132.173857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Raptors61c6,302$3,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.6717141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Nets50c5,986$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.1714039.3%55 W · 85 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed Nets58c5,688$3,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,272.4728256.7%160 W · 122 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Raptors50c5,579$2,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,764.2133752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Nets37c5,374$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006533.8%22 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Raptors54c5,174$2,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.0965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9370…107abacked Nets34c4,488$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,525.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc593…3cbebacked Raptors66c4,448$2,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.254100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors50c3,796$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.961,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd67…4123backed Raptors52c3,200$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8c…e69dbacked Nets27c2,884$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.692128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Raptors53c2,618$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.0670951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8774…17f2backed Nets48c2,615$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.29425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Raptors52c2,600$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2481,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Raptors48c2,200$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.837954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Raptors52c2,050$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9849250%46 W · 46 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Raptors50c2,050$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.9375347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Nets1c2,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94096447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Raptors50c1,974$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.7411952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors55c1,877$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.571,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Raptors50c1,748$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.0417243%74 W · 98 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Raptors49c1,650$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.1315741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Nets14c1,400$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20223237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Nets52c1,394$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7253627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Raptors74c1,348$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.0325865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Nets3c1,264$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.65502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3e…b656backed Raptors49c1,184$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.675269.2%36 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Nets36c1,111$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40027041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Nets45c1,110$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.5423248.7%113 W · 119 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29e4…252fbacked Raptors55c1,100$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.991560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba02…e42bbacked Nets46c1,100$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.981668.8%11 W · 5 L+4.9wins+0.31per pick38cpaid+104.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0bc1…06edbacked Nets10c1,095$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.288335.3%312 W · 571 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Nets37c1,052$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.936843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30bc…2529backed Raptors53c1,035$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.786744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nets39c1,032$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.6138027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x877b…83f1backed Nets49c1,022$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Nets51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.0129148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Nets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nets47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Nets26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26030443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e4…86babacked Raptors55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+110.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Raptors58c983.73$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.5915947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Nets41c948.32$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.5830648.7%149 W · 157 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Raptors60c907.35$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.7625651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b7…6323backed Raptors49c865$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9b2…3b25backed Nets52c865$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed Nets45c834.56$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.893743.2%16 W · 21 L-8.5wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-39.6%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Raptors54c799.97$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.6573051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Raptors53c799.43$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.5461532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Nets52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40034852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6153…0e04backed Nets67c749.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006347.6%30 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c44…5e3fbacked Nets43c741.05$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.97837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb9…a974backed Nets43c730$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.71330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick20cpaid+106.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Nets51c700$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35748137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Raptors58c698.47$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.475,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Nets54c645.36$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.6420245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Raptors50c623.85$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.3547948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Raptors43c616.53$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.985347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Nets51c589.1$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.442,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Raptors76c583.62$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.0721455.1%118 W · 96 L-1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Nets50c563$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.530440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Nets55c544.18$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015558.7%91 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc206…e084backed Nets45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd45…63bfbacked Nets48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28ad…8ec8backed Raptors54c494$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.241844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Nets3c486.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.237502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Nets49c469.76$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.185240.4%21 W · 31 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x42e8…9d10backed Raptors76c454.79$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5521357.7%123 W · 90 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69f0…c4e4backed Raptors67c453.05$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.07757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d4…6f09backed Nets45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3a3…541dbacked Nets49c432.96$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c4e…4facbacked Nets48c426.93$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.93728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Raptors50c421.47$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.8671747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd09…4198backed Raptors50c400.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.315862.1%36 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d54…2386backed Nets52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004456.8%25 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x749f…a8f9backed Raptors79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.75850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Raptors54c374.44$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.243467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc2…9d4fbacked Nets52c344.58$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.183669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Raptors54c340$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.222955.9%128 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Raptors55c324.14$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.691,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x061e…8e2fbacked Nets42c322.01$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.222937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Nets25c304$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7626235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Raptors68c300.16$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.057352.1%38 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Nets48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Nets47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14122721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Nets47c299.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14017464.9%113 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0041…e598backed Nets52c288.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.252445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Nets35c288.37$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.939739.2%38 W · 59 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x529d…47cfbacked Nets53c284.28$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.