NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39162f1d2c78d0a643f1fad2458df9374c0768e2d8cd523da5a40ff22918b9c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Wizards, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $517,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $517,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $517,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 22c | 31,232$6,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,497.96 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Wizards | 33c | 26,871$8,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,052.45 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Wizards | 48c | 20,655$9,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,740.8 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 12c | 20,340$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,963.08 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Wizards | 16c | 15,235$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,807.44 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Wizards | 13c | 14,156$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,376.03 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Timberwolves | 49c | 13,510$6,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,587.63 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Wizards | 37c | 11,763$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,395.45 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad8…da84backed Wizards | 9c | 11,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,010 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +209.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Wizards | 16c | 10,393$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,721.75 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Timberwolves | 37c | 9,902$3,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,667.11 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Wizards | 63c | 8,581$5,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.96 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Timberwolves | 53c | 8,066$4,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,248.42 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Wizards | 77c | 7,928$6,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.93 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Timberwolves | 66c | 7,465$4,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,942.29 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…dfd6backed Wizards | 49c | 6,111$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Timberwolves | 64c | 6,006$3,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,845.64 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 29c | 5,856$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.01 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 9c | 5,100$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,641.01 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Timberwolves | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Wizards | 13c | 4,096$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,563.39 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Timberwolves | 74c | 3,987$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.75 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…6132backed Timberwolves | 64c | 3,955$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 3,491$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.17 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Wizards | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.98 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Wizards | 7c | 3,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.96 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Wizards | 12c | 2,667$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.67 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cde…038abacked Wizards | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +200%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Timberwolves | 80c | 2,480$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wizards | 15c | 2,178$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.87 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Wizards | 15c | 1,830$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.81 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 22c | 1,777$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.97 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Timberwolves | 79c | 1,770$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.36 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -8.5wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Wizards | 17c | 1,711$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.75 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Wizards | 34c | 1,475$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.31 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 10c | 1,407$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.95 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Timberwolves | 44c | 1,320$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.05 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 36c | 1,241$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.83 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…5b5fbacked Wizards | 9c | 1,146$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +188.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Wizards | 8c | 1,132$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.12 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Wizards | 14c | 1,095$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.42 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Wizards | 44c | 1,061$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.72 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Wizards | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…69debacked Timberwolves | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards | 8c | 999.81$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.55 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Wizards | 16c | 995.78$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.08 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Timberwolves | 65c | 954.55$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.35 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Timberwolves | 61c | 817.74$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Wizards | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Wizards | 8c | 800$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21b…621bbacked Wizards | 76c | 786.9$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Wizards | 49c | 785.11$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.41 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Wizards | 33c | 734.39$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.26 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Wizards | 17c | 712.48$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.36 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Wizards | 29c | 700$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Timberwolves | 38c | 671.55$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.19 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Timberwolves | 49c | 649.99$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.6 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa88f…208fbacked Wizards | 17c | 605.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.89 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Timberwolves | 73c | 600$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Timberwolves | 8c | 588.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Timberwolves | 29c | 516.66$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…06b9backed Timberwolves | 79c | 516.46$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2b…dbf4backed Timberwolves | 71c | 498.85$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…4504backed Wizards | 13c | 485.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.53 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Wizards | 63c | 482.7$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.6 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Wizards | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Wizards | 15c | 460$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.8 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf645…b8c2backed Wizards | 12c | 423.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.26 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Wizards | 13c | 404$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.48 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Timberwolves | 33c | 400$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Wizards | 12c | 399.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Wizards | 13c | 384.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.63 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Timberwolves | 78c | 382.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdadc…15fcbacked Wizards | 13c | 380.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.01 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Wizards | 8c | 353.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.71 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Timberwolves | 70c | 327.27$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.09 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Wizards | 13c | 307.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.7 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f5…0c2cbacked Wizards | 16c | 300.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.49 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf691…c596backed Timberwolves | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Wizards | 8c | 299.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Wizards | 22c | 282.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.06 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…4769backed Timberwolves | 79c | 258.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 258.53$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.51 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…646dbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 255$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.15 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…7b7fbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 239.37$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.69 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df6…34f3backed Wizards | 8c | 234.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +611.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…cb5abacked Wizards | 34c | 224.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Timberwolves | 39c | 220$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Wizards | 9c | 219.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Wizards | 7c | 200$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed Wizards | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Wizards | 7c | 200$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a9…dd6abacked Wizards | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…c995backed Wizards | 36c | 196.64$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…5c3cbacked Wizards | 10c | 181.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.91 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Wizards | 12c | 179.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 179.51$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.04 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Timberwolves | 74c | 173.94$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.72 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.