NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2b10864904253b9e764c428d15cd5267c49871396228da9ca4fbba6a9efde88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Hawks, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $272,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Hawks | 27c | 43,442$11,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,598.16 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Nuggets | 76c | 20,000$15,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Nuggets | 73c | 8,620$6,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.38 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Hawks | 29c | 7,000$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…0848backed Hawks | 28c | 6,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Hawks | 26c | 5,867$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.53 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Nuggets | 73c | 5,460$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.62 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nuggets | 72c | 5,448$3,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.43 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Nuggets | 71c | 5,237$3,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.85 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…dd2fbacked Hawks | 0c | 5,221$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks | 33c | 5,014$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.2 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…85a3backed Hawks | 19c | 4,505$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks | 20c | 4,477$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.41 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Nuggets | 76c | 4,430$3,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.46 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Nuggets | 70c | 4,306$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.18 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Nuggets | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawks | 29c | 4,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad71…666dbacked Hawks | 17c | 3,928$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Hawks | 31c | 3,800$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Hawks | 25c | 3,780$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.01 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Hawks | 20c | 3,289$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.03 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hawks | 1c | 3,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Hawks | 28c | 2,793$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.01 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Hawks | 26c | 2,738$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.62 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Nuggets | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nuggets | 74c | 2,500$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Hawks | 30c | 2,296$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.2 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Nuggets | 75c | 2,281$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.64 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Hawks | 13c | 2,124$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.57 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks | 1c | 2,027$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Hawks | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Nuggets | 73c | 1,792$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.31 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Nuggets | 69c | 1,785$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.53 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…d268backed Hawks | 27c | 1,593$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.01 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Nuggets | 76c | 1,572$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.39 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Hawks | 32c | 1,478$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.87 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…9332backed Hawks | 32c | 1,364$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Nuggets | 65c | 1,363$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.71 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Hawks | 30c | 1,347$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.6 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hawks | 33c | 1,207$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8e2fbacked Nuggets | 71c | 1,152$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.87 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d21…caa1backed Hawks | 32c | 1,140$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Hawks | 1c | 1,035$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Hawks | 5c | 1,014$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Hawks | 30c | 1,007$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Hawks | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Hawks | 19c | 1,000$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…ae5dbacked Hawks | 13c | 945.2$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Hawks | 33c | 908.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Hawks | 29c | 901.48$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.07 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Hawks | 29c | 893.97$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.25 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…7a9ebacked Hawks | 9c | 883.01$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hawks | 20c | 882.67$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.88 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589e…c63ebacked Nuggets | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.35 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Hawks | 27c | 870.13$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.69 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…21d8backed Hawks | 36c | 843.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Nuggets | 69c | 826.22$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.72 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Nuggets | 72c | 800$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Hawks | 25c | 800$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Hawks | 23c | 799.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Hawks | 32c | 743.89$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.04 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…35bfbacked Nuggets | 68c | 743$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…47cfbacked Hawks | 26c | 718.16$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.77 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…a974backed Hawks | 16c | 711.62$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.74 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Hawks | 25c | 699.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Hawks | 32c | 697.89$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.32 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Hawks | 33c | 671$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.43 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nuggets | 75c | 629.98$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.6 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe58…4acbbacked Nuggets | 74c | 617.48$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1a…188dbacked Hawks | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac7c…0dc3backed Nuggets | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Nuggets | 71c | 589.68$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.58 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe6…2255backed Nuggets | 71c | 586$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0f…7305backed Hawks | 26c | 585$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…4ae4backed Hawks | 23c | 570.41$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.56 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Hawks | 32c | 563$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.16 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Nuggets | 79c | 562.96$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.74 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed Nuggets | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…9d39backed Nuggets | 72c | 459.07$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.54 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Nuggets | 65c | 458$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.68 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…4a20backed Hawks | 23c | 430$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Hawks | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Nuggets | 75c | 399.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Nuggets | 68c | 368$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.76 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Nuggets | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Nuggets | 73c | 340.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Hawks | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 501 | 44.7%224 W · 277 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Nuggets | 65c | 315.94$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Hawks | 10c | 315.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Hawks | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…d1cdbacked Hawks | 25c | 312.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Hawks | 33c | 305.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Hawks | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Hawks | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd09…4198backed Nuggets | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Nuggets | 69c | 291.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.55 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Hawks | 32c | 281.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.23 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed Hawks | 26c | 279.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Nuggets | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.