NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd88461c24dde81a78484ae3cd9cfad03f30035443b5050ea9bd5bee478c8971a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $311,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $335,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Wizards | 11c | 15,591$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.74 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Wizards | 1c | 11,700$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.75 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 10c | 11,243$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.78 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 12c | 8,586$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.36 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 9c | 8,264$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Wizards | 13c | 7,996$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.39 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 11c | 7,540$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.96 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Wizards | 15c | 6,462$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.93 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Wizards | 10c | 6,086$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.15 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Wizards | 11c | 6,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cae…78d0backed Wizards | 11c | 5,056$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 7c | 4,549$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.93 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x678a…e94cbacked Wizards | 11c | 3,182$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Wizards | 18c | 2,846$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.56 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wizards | 2c | 2,186$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…4c02backed Wizards | 10c | 2,118$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Wizards | 12c | 2,032$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.06 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Wizards | 11c | 2,011$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.44 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Wizards | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…1583backed Wizards | 10c | 1,998$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0d…68edbacked Wizards | 10c | 1,710$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3418…458abacked Wizards | 9c | 1,656$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.37 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Wizards | 11c | 1,600$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7f…d808backed Wizards | 11c | 1,455$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6215…1046backed Wizards | 2c | 1,200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa703…ad40backed Wizards | 10c | 1,100$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…e592backed Wizards | 20c | 1,006$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa657…4ac6backed Wizards | 10c | 1,003$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Wizards | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Wizards | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…6261backed Wizards | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Wizards | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Wizards | 19c | 992.06$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.16 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Wizards | 11c | 991.67$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Wizards | 11c | 909.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Wizards | 8c | 847.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 80c | 846.24$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.55 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Wizards | 12c | 800.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wizards | 12c | 654.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce02…f887backed Wizards | 11c | 629.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…3e48backed Wizards | 7c | 599.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…b65fbacked Wizards | 11c | 599.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 14c | 524.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Wizards | 10c | 508.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…3d96backed Wizards | 12c | 501$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Wizards | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Wizards | 11c | 499.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb543…c602backed Wizards | 12c | 495$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa88f…208fbacked Wizards | 11c | 454.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Wizards | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ab…e594backed Wizards | 11c | 427.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed Wizards | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Wizards | 12c | 416.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…d3eabacked Wizards | 11c | 409.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…3603backed Wizards | 11c | 400.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8047…54f4backed Timberwolves | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…08c3backed Wizards | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Wizards | 13c | 385$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea7e…e247backed Wizards | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…d402backed Wizards | 9c | 379.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Wizards | 15c | 373$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Wizards | 10c | 331.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462a…8b5cbacked Wizards | 13c | 330$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 156 | 39.7%62 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Wizards | 11c | 328$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Wizards | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ef…49ecbacked Wizards | 11c | 300.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Wizards | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Timberwolves | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdacd…cfb2backed Wizards | 10c | 297.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Wizards | 9c | 288.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd584…fe14backed Wizards | 11c | 267.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb24…a17bbacked Wizards | 12c | 266.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…7f97backed Wizards | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…dc84backed Wizards | 13c | 240$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…2e32backed Wizards | 13c | 230.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b04…e4c2backed Wizards | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Wizards | 11c | 227.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…ada8backed Wizards | 12c | 225$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wizards | 15c | 223.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Wizards | 12c | 214.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7f…dbecbacked Wizards | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Wizards | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…7f7cbacked Wizards | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…bdf9backed Wizards | 11c | 190.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Wizards | 11c | 181.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6146…0636backed Wizards | 11c | 163.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Wizards | 9c | 161.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Wizards | 12c | 155.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Wizards | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 501 | 44.7%224 W · 277 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3b…a436backed Wizards | 11c | 146.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Wizards | 12c | 140$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…763bbacked Wizards | 11c | 136.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa013…d449backed Wizards | 12c | 133.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2331…408cbacked Wizards | 11c | 132$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdc…b696backed Wizards | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Wizards | 11c | 113.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…d35bbacked Wizards | 11c | 113.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.