NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8aaf4212729370ea661cb039e7f0b8f3eeaddb2dafbf7ab16b471e66547c8a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Mavericks, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Mavericks | 9c | 65,855$5,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,642.89 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7efa…acbebacked Cavaliers | 79c | 32,006$25,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,721.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df6…bb77backed Mavericks | 21c | 32,000$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,720 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mavericks | 9c | 16,108$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.87 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Mavericks | 14c | 14,326$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.52 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Mavericks | 10c | 13,108$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.83 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 14c | 10,100$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Mavericks | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.94 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mavericks | 10c | 7,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bb…8852backed Mavericks | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mavericks | 12c | 4,740$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.59 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Mavericks | 1c | 3,662$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mavericks | 1c | 3,135$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Mavericks | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…27e6backed Mavericks | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Mavericks | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Mavericks | 15c | 1,885$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.71 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…47e9backed Mavericks | 14c | 1,880$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Mavericks | 15c | 1,648$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.19 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…ff3bbacked Mavericks | 9c | 1,563$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.42 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1392…ab2abacked Mavericks | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00db…80dabacked Mavericks | 8c | 1,422$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…ac84backed Mavericks | 2c | 1,332$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Mavericks | 10c | 1,243$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Mavericks | 12c | 1,118$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.53 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Mavericks | 15c | 1,003$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.51 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Mavericks | 10c | 850$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Mavericks | 3c | 753.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf0…fd3abacked Mavericks | 15c | 666.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Mavericks | 15c | 666.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Mavericks | 13c | 600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed Mavericks | 14c | 545.77$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…06b9backed Mavericks | 9c | 513.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Mavericks | 17c | 505$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Mavericks | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Mavericks | 13c | 480$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Mavericks | 15c | 410.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mavericks | 16c | 402.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Mavericks | 15c | 393.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Mavericks | 12c | 372.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Mavericks | 10c | 370$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Mavericks | 14c | 350$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f4…3a5bbacked Mavericks | 7c | 350$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…4504backed Mavericks | 15c | 337$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Mavericks | 15c | 333.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Mavericks | 15c | 333.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Mavericks | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2e…dcfbbacked Mavericks | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Mavericks | 15c | 300$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Mavericks | 16c | 299.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b7…1b8ebacked Mavericks | 15c | 266.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Mavericks | 10c | 254.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Mavericks | 8c | 235.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mavericks | 15c | 228.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Mavericks | 13c | 200.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Mavericks | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Mavericks | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 59.1%81 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…aaadbacked Mavericks | 9c | 199.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Mavericks | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Mavericks | 15c | 133.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…646dbacked Mavericks | 13c | 132$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…4d07backed Mavericks | 15c | 126.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Mavericks | 14c | 118.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Mavericks | 15c | 100.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…501ebacked Mavericks | 15c | 100.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Mavericks | 15c | 100.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…b387backed Mavericks | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Mavericks | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Mavericks | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…53c8backed Mavericks | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Mavericks | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Mavericks | 13c | 99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…9b67backed Mavericks | 15c | 96.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb3…9542backed Mavericks | 15c | 80.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…e637backed Mavericks | 15c | 68.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Mavericks | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7d…a2acbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 31.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d50…b1b5backed Cavaliers | 77c | 30.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…a057backed Cavaliers | 78c | 27.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6222…ec93backed Cavaliers | 76c | 27.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…1bc1backed Cavaliers | 76c | 25.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…58afbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 24.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…181dbacked Cavaliers | 78c | 21.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…2d7dbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 21.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…cad3backed Cavaliers | 76c | 19.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…4d3fbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 17.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…d9cdbacked Cavaliers | 80c | 13.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.