TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Diamondbacks vs. Brewers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brewersof Diamondbacks, Brewers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,005
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,975

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,005 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc5b…5b15backed Diamondbacks39c11,202$4,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,356.8434245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa365…d26ebacked Diamondbacks19c7,787$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.9114052.9%74 W · 66 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers63c7,498$4,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,755.451,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Brewers61c5,820$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.838751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Brewers61c5,020$3,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.823455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb22a…f94abacked Diamondbacks39c5,020$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.81540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1701,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Brewers69c2,899$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.5525454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Brewers63c2,821$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.6324154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks37c2,792$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.51,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb006…4eb8backed Brewers61c2,462$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.082356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Diamondbacks37c2,300$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.0256451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Brewers64c2,042$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.191,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Diamondbacks38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.981,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b8…b745backed Brewers62c1,800$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6842250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Diamondbacks38c1,800$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6842250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks14c1,786$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.069,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks37c1,732$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.812,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Diamondbacks21c1,567$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.0173149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Brewers62c1,561$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59343949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Brewers77c1,225$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.8225551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Brewers62c1,192$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.6311449.1%56 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Diamondbacks37c1,151$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.8650843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21dd…c1b4backed Diamondbacks1c1,017$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Diamondbacks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Brewers62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3803748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Brewers72c986.89$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.1996133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa8b…23d2backed Brewers63c964.96$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.873863.2%24 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Diamondbacks39c961.54$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37570946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks38c921.98$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.351,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Diamondbacks38c900$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34283248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x869b…776cbacked Brewers62c894.56$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.931855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks38c880$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.41,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089d…c7c9backed Diamondbacks7c845.65$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9110713.1%14 W · 93 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks38c779.26$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.811,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Diamondbacks37c750$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.524547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Diamondbacks40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30057744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8c…0a55backed Brewers63c718.13$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.132755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks35c717.95$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.962,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Brewers62c665$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.743654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Diamondbacks4c630$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.65852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7db7…d372backed Brewers66c548.65$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1113149.6%65 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Diamondbacks37c517$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.2944443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Diamondbacks39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Brewers60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20051151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Diamondbacks38c499.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19030151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Diamondbacks4c455.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.185053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Diamondbacks7c421.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013021.5%28 W · 102 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Brewers62c419$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.2263152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Brewers62c404$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.5211859.3%70 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers63c318.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.082,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers66c303$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0251953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1143,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks27c300$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks39c271.79$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10699951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Brewers79c268.59$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7921747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Brewers60c258$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.21,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51e6…622ebacked Diamondbacks40c252.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks23c251.03$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.814,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Diamondbacks36c247.01$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.921,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fc…5ddfbacked Brewers63c222.22$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.221573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Brewers62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7621656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Diamondbacks39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Brewers62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Brewers63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7312459.7%74 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Brewers63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.592754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Diamondbacks38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5733140.2%133 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Diamondbacks38c149.07$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.061,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Brewers61c140$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.649450%247 W · 247 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Brewers79c127.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.162445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Brewers79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5818155.8%101 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks39c118.31$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.146,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Diamondbacks22c116.91$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.727035.7%25 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Diamondbacks18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Diamondbacks39c107.95$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.11,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Brewers61c102.93$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1431254.5%170 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Diamondbacks16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1622849.1%112 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Brewers61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3918249.5%90 W · 92 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Diamondbacks16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3095…8e0ebacked Diamondbacks40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.715543.9%68 W · 87 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Brewers61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3914863.5%94 W · 54 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ff…9d91backed Brewers61c92.36$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0220443.1%88 W · 116 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Diamondbacks17c80.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1453639.9%214 W · 322 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cb5…da2cbacked Brewers63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3712355.3%68 W · 55 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Brewers63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3728053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Brewers63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3725551%130 W · 125 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…d68cbacked Brewers64c73.33$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.46657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a4…31f4backed Brewers63c73.02$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a75…ed14backed Brewers63c71.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.431650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Brewers62c70.97$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9725954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks39c69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.912,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91a7…cac6backed Brewers63c68.25$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2510948.6%53 W · 56 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Diamondbacks38c68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.841,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…d8dcbacked Brewers63c63.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c68…b1cfbacked Brewers63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.497051.4%36 W · 34 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Brewers61c63$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5740152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eb7…5984backed Brewers63c62.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Brewers80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.216053.1%85 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.